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Predictions › United States › Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets prediction

Glass Bowl

Western Michigan BroncosAway
19.2 : 29.2
projected points
Toledo RocketsHome
26%W Michigan
74%Toledo
Eagle safe pickToledo +0.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 19.2 and Toledo Rockets 29.2. Our best bet is Toledo +0.5 at -295.

Prediction
Toledo Rockets to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Western Michigan Broncos 19, Toledo Rockets 29
Projected total
48.4 points
Best bet
Toledo +0.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Toledo +0.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toledo Rockets 74% and Western Michigan Broncos 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Western Michigan Broncos won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toledo Rockets won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Western Michigan Broncos won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toledo Rockets score 32.9 points a game and let in 16.4. Western Michigan Broncos score 25.9 and let in 16.2. Their recent games average 49.4 and 42.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Toledo Rockets won 0 and Western Michigan Broncos won 1. The last one ended Western Michigan Broncos 14, Toledo Rockets 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Toledo +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets: Toledo Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toledo Rockets host Western Michigan Broncos in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Glass Bowl. Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 19.2 and Toledo Rockets 29.2. Our best bet is Toledo +0.5 at -295.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 560 points scored and 279 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Western Michigan Broncos form

Western Michigan Broncos have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 466 points scored and 291 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Toledo Rockets won 0, Western Michigan Broncos won 1. Last time out it finished Western Michigan Broncos 14, Toledo Rockets 13.

Our call

We expect Western Michigan Broncos to score about 19.2 points and Toledo Rockets about 29.2. That points to Toledo Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Toledo +0.5 at -295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

ToledoW Michigan
Games played1718
Wins1114
Losses64
Points scored560466
Points conceded279291
Scored per game32.925.9
Conceded per game16.416.2
Home record8W 1L9W 1L
Away record3W 5L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Toledo spreadCoversFair
Toledo -16.534%+193
Toledo -12.544%+129
Toledo -9.551%-104
Toledo -6.559%-141
Toledo -2.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.557%43%
48.550%50%
51.542%58%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Toledo +3.5 wins if Toledo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets?

Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 19.2 and Toledo Rockets 29.2. Our best bet is Toledo +0.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets?

We project Western Michigan Broncos 19.2 and Toledo Rockets 29.2, about 48.4 points in total.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 560 points scored and 279 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Western Michigan Broncos playing?

Western Michigan Broncos have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 466 points scored and 291 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toledo Rockets and Western Michigan Broncos last met?

It ended Western Michigan Broncos 14, Toledo Rockets 13. In the last 1 meeting Toledo Rockets won 0 and Western Michigan Broncos won 1.

What is the best bet for Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets?

Toledo +0.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toledo against W Michigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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