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Predictions › Australia › Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC
A-LeagueFri 20 Nov, 08:40 Australia time

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC prediction

CommBank Stadium

Western Sydney Wanderers FCHome
1.94 : 1.26
expected goals
Adelaide United FCAway
53%Western Sydney
23%Draw
24%Adelaide Utd
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC is Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1.9, Adelaide United FC 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Western Sydney Wanderers FC 53%, the draw 23% and Adelaide United FC 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Western Sydney Wanderers FC the favourite at 1.67.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Western Sydney Wanderers FC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Adelaide United FC took 2 from 5. Western Sydney Wanderers FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Adelaide United FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Western Sydney Wanderers FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Adelaide United FC score 1.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Western Sydney Wanderers FC games and 13 of Adelaide United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0 and Adelaide United FC won 3 with 0 draws. The last one ended Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2, Adelaide United FC 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Western Sydneyrecent form-1%
  • Adelaide Utdrecent form-6%
  • Adelaide Utdrest between games-2%
Western Sydney form L D W D LAdelaide Utd form D L L L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC: Western Sydney Wanderers FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Western Sydney Wanderers FC host Adelaide United FC in the A-League on Fri 20 Nov, 08:40 at CommBank Stadium. Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC is Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Western Sydney Wanderers FC form

Western Sydney Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Adelaide United FC form

Adelaide United FC have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0, Adelaide United FC won 3 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2, Adelaide United FC 4.

Our call

We expect Western Sydney Wanderers FC to score about 1.9 goals and Adelaide United FC about 1.3. That points to Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Western SydneyAdelaide Utd
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws59
Losses114
Goals scored2534
Goals conceded3431
Scored per game1.31.7
Conceded per game1.71.6
Home record2W 2D 5L3W 4D 2L
Away record2W 3D 6L4W 5D 2L
Clean sheets25%5%
Both teams scored55%85%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win49%2.061.67-19.1%
A Draw23%4.434.10-7.4%
Adelaide United FC to win23%4.264.20-1.5%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.412.05-15.0%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.941.65-15.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC -0.551%1.981.61-18.7%
Adelaide United FC +0.543%2.352.10-10.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.51
Both teams to score62%1.61
Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Draw76%1.32
Adelaide United FC or Draw47%2.11
Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win and Over 2.538%2.65
Adelaide United FC to win and Over 2.516%6.13
Western Sydney Wanderers FC clean sheet28%3.53
Adelaide United FC clean sheet14%6.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%
1-07.3%
1-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC?

Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC is Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Western Sydney Wanderers FC to score 1.9 goals and Adelaide United FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Western Sydney Wanderers FC last 20 games and 17 of Adelaide United FC last 20.

How are Western Sydney Wanderers FC playing?

Western Sydney Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Adelaide United FC playing?

Adelaide United FC have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Adelaide United FC last met?

It ended Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2, Adelaide United FC 4. In the last 3 meetings Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0 and Adelaide United FC won 3.

What is the best bet for Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Adelaide United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Western Sydney against Adelaide Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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