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Predictions › Australia › Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC
A-LeagueSat 24 Oct, 06:00 Australia time

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC prediction

CommBank Stadium

Western Sydney WanderersHome
0.79 : 1.89
expected goals
Auckland FCAway
14%Western Sydney
23%Draw
63%Auckland
Eagle safe pickAuckland FC or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Auckland FC to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Western Sydney Wanderers 0.8, Auckland FC 1.9
Best bet
Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Auckland FC or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Auckland FC to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Western Sydney Wanderers 14%, the draw 23% and Auckland FC 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Western Sydney Wanderers took 0 points from their last 5 games and Auckland FC took 9 from 5. Auckland FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Western Sydney Wanderers won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Auckland FC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Auckland FC score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Western Sydney Wanderers games and 11 of Auckland FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers won 0 and Auckland FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Auckland FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Auckland FC or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Western Sydneyrecent form-7%
  • Aucklandrecent form+3%
  • Western Sydneyrest between games-3%
  • Aucklandrest between games-3%
Western Sydney form L L L L LAuckland form L W W D WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC: Auckland FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Western Sydney Wanderers host Auckland FC in the A-League on Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 at CommBank Stadium. Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19.

Western Sydney Wanderers form

Western Sydney Wanderers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Auckland FC form

Auckland FC have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Western Sydney Wanderers won 0, Auckland FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Auckland FC 2.

Our call

We expect Western Sydney Wanderers to score about 0.8 goals and Auckland FC about 1.9. That points to Auckland FC to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Auckland FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Western SydneyAuckland
Games played2020
Wins37
Draws49
Losses134
Goals scored2133
Goals conceded3621
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record1W 3D 6L3W 5D 2L
Away record2W 1D 7L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.57
Both teams to score47%2.13
Western Sydney Wanderers or Draw37%2.68
Auckland FC or Draw86%1.17
Western Sydney Wanderers to win and Over 2.57%13.46
Auckland FC to win and Over 2.538%2.63
Western Sydney Wanderers clean sheet15%6.60
Auckland FC clean sheet45%2.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.4%
0-212.3%
1-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-37.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?

Our prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC is Auckland FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Western Sydney Wanderers to score 0.8 goals and Auckland FC 1.9.

Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Western Sydney Wanderers last 20 games and 13 of Auckland FC last 20.

How are Western Sydney Wanderers playing?

Western Sydney Wanderers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Auckland FC playing?

Auckland FC have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland FC last met?

It ended Western Sydney Wanderers 0, Auckland FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Western Sydney Wanderers won 0 and Auckland FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?

Auckland FC or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Western Sydney against Auckland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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