Predictions › United Kingdom › Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley
League OneSat 14 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley prediction

DW Stadium

Wigan AthleticHome
1.17 : 1.00
expected goals
BarnsleyAway
39%Wigan
31%Draw
30%Barnsley
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley is Wigan Athletic to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Wigan Athletic to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wigan Athletic 1.2, Barnsley 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wigan Athletic 39%, the draw 31% and Barnsley 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wigan Athletic took 4 points from their last 5 games and Barnsley took 1 from 5. Wigan Athletic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wigan Athletic won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Barnsley won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wigan Athletic score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Barnsley score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Wigan Athletic games and 13 of Barnsley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Wigan Athletic won 0 and Barnsley won 0 with 3 draws. The last one ended Barnsley 1, Wigan Athletic 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wiganrecent form-3%
  • Barnsleyrecent form-6%
  • Wiganrest between games-5%
Wigan form D W L L LBarnsley form D L L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley: Wigan Athletic shade it

The big picture

Wigan Athletic host Barnsley in the League One on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 at DW Stadium. Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley is Wigan Athletic to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Wigan Athletic won 0, Barnsley won 0 and 3 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barnsley 1, Wigan Athletic 1.

Our call

We expect Wigan Athletic to score about 1.2 goals and Barnsley about 1.0. That points to Wigan Athletic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WiganBarnsley
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws46
Losses1110
Goals scored1724
Goals conceded2636
Scored per game0.81.2
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 4D 4L
Away record0W 3D 7L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored35%75%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%8/15
Over 2.5 goals37%7/4
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score44%5/4
Wigan Athletic or Draw70%4/9
Barnsley or Draw61%8/13
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Barnsley to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Wigan Athletic clean sheet37%7/4
Barnsley clean sheet31%11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
1-012.6%
0-012.3%
0-110.7%
2-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley is Wigan Athletic to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Wigan Athletic to score 1.2 goals and Barnsley 1.0.

Will both teams score in Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Wigan Athletic last 20 games and 15 of Barnsley last 20.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Wigan Athletic and Barnsley last met?

It ended Barnsley 1, Wigan Athletic 1. In the last 3 meetings Wigan Athletic won 0 and Barnsley won 0.

What is the best bet for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wigan against Barnsley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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