Predictions › United Kingdom › Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town

League OneTue 3 Nov, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town prediction

DW Stadium

Wigan AthleticHome

1.27 : 1.30

expected goals

Mansfield TownAway

35%Wigan

28%Draw

37%Mansfield

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town is Mansfield Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Mansfield Town to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Wigan Athletic 1.3, Mansfield Town 1.3
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mansfield Town to win

36% chancePrice 15/8+2.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Wigan Athletic 35%, the draw 28% and Mansfield Town 37%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Wigan Athletic the favourite at 5/4, so take care with this one.
2
Recent form
Wigan Athletic took 3 points from their last 5 games and Mansfield Town took 11 from 5. Mansfield Town come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Wigan Athletic won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Mansfield Town won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Wigan Athletic score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Wigan Athletic games and 13 of Mansfield Town games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Wigan Athletic won 1 and Mansfield Town won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wigan Athletic 2, Mansfield Town 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Mansfieldrecent form+3%
Wiganrest between games-5%
Mansfieldrest between games-5%

Wigan form D L W L WMansfield form W W D W LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: Mansfield Town shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wigan Athletic host Mansfield Town in the League One on Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 at DW Stadium. Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town is Mansfield Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wigan Athletic won 1, Mansfield Town won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wigan Athletic 2, Mansfield Town 1.

Our call

We expect Wigan Athletic to score about 1.3 goals and Mansfield Town about 1.3. That points to Mansfield Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Mansfield Town to win at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Wigan	Mansfield
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	4	7
Losses	11	5
Goals scored	17	33
Goals conceded	25	28
Scored per game	0.8	1.6
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	4W 1D 4L	4W 4D 1L
Away record	1W 3D 7L	4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	35%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Wigan Athletic to win	35%	15/8	5/4	-20.6%
A Draw	27%	11/4	5/2	-6.5%
Mansfield Town to win	36%	9/5	15/8	+2.2%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	21/20	4/6	-19.1%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	5/4	21/20	-8.1%
Wigan Athletic -0.5	40%	6/4	11/10	-14.7%
Mansfield Town +0.5	54%	5/6	4/7	-15.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	4/11
Over 2.5 goals	48%	11/10
Over 3.5 goals	26%	11/4
Both teams to score	53%	10/11
Wigan Athletic or Draw	63%	4/7
Mansfield Town or Draw	65%	8/15
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5	21%	4/1
Wigan Athletic clean sheet	27%	13/5
Mansfield Town clean sheet	28%	13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%

0-19.2%

1-09.0%

0-08.4%

1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town is Mansfield Town to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Wigan Athletic to score 1.3 goals and Mansfield Town 1.3.

Will both teams score in Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Wigan Athletic last 20 games and 11 of Mansfield Town last 20.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

How are Mansfield Town playing?

What happened when Wigan Athletic and Mansfield Town last met?

It ended Wigan Athletic 2, Mansfield Town 1. In the last 2 meetings Wigan Athletic won 1 and Mansfield Town won 0.

What is the best bet for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wigan against Mansfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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