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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wigan Athletic vs Reading
League OneSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wigan Athletic vs Reading prediction

DW Stadium

Wigan AthleticHome
0.97 : 1.16
expected goals
ReadingAway
30%Wigan
31%Draw
39%Reading
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Reading to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wigan Athletic 1.0, Reading 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wigan Athletic 30%, the draw 31% and Reading 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wigan Athletic took 4 points from their last 5 games and Reading took 5 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wigan Athletic won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Reading won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wigan Athletic score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Reading score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Wigan Athletic games and 11 of Reading games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Wigan Athletic won 0 and Reading won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Reading 3, Wigan Athletic 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Readingrecent form-1%
Wigan form W L D L WReading form D D W L LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wigan Athletic vs Reading: Reading shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wigan Athletic host Reading in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at DW Stadium. Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Reading form

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wigan Athletic won 0, Reading won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Reading 3, Wigan Athletic 0.

Our call

We expect Wigan Athletic to score about 1.0 goals and Reading about 1.2. That points to Reading to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WiganReading
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws56
Losses98
Goals scored1931
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.21.2
Home record5W 1D 5L4W 1D 5L
Away record1W 4D 4L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored30%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%4/7
Over 2.5 goals36%9/5
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score43%5/4
Wigan Athletic or Draw61%4/6
Reading or Draw70%2/5
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Reading to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Wigan Athletic clean sheet31%11/5
Reading clean sheet38%13/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-113.0%
0-012.7%
1-010.7%
0-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

Our prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Wigan Athletic to score 1.0 goals and Reading 1.2.

Will both teams score in Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Wigan Athletic last 20 games and 12 of Reading last 20.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Wigan Athletic and Reading last met?

It ended Reading 3, Wigan Athletic 0. In the last 2 meetings Wigan Athletic won 0 and Reading won 2.

What is the best bet for Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wigan against Reading. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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