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Predictions › Netherlands › Willem II vs SC Cambuur
EredivisieSat 24 Oct, 16:45 Netherlands time

Willem II vs SC Cambuur prediction

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem IIHome
1.12 : 1.84
expected goals
SC CambuurAway
22%Willem II
24%Draw
54%Cambuur
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Willem II vs SC Cambuur is SC Cambuur to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
SC Cambuur to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Willem II 1.1, SC Cambuur 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Willem II 22%, the draw 24% and SC Cambuur 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Willem II took 1 point from their last 5 games and SC Cambuur took 8 from 5. SC Cambuur come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Willem II won 0 of their last 4 games at home. SC Cambuur won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Willem II score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.9. SC Cambuur score 1.4 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Willem II games and 6 of SC Cambuur games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Willem IIrecent form-4%
Willem II form D L L D LCambuur form D D W D LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Willem II vs SC Cambuur: SC Cambuur are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Willem II host SC Cambuur in the Eredivisie on Sat 24 Oct, 16:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion. Our prediction for Willem II vs SC Cambuur is SC Cambuur to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Willem II form

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 games, with 7 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

SC Cambuur form

SC Cambuur have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Willem II to score about 1.1 goals and SC Cambuur about 1.8. That points to SC Cambuur to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.5 at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 8 games in all competitions.

Willem IICambuur
Games played88
Wins02
Draws22
Losses64
Goals scored711
Goals conceded2319
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game2.92.4
Home record0W 1D 3L1W 0D 3L
Away record0W 1D 3L1W 2D 1L
Clean sheets0%25%
Both teams scored75%63%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.92
Both teams to score57%1.75
Willem II or Draw46%2.15
SC Cambuur or Draw78%1.29
Willem II to win and Over 2.514%7.20
SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.536%2.79
Willem II clean sheet16%6.27
SC Cambuur clean sheet33%3.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29.8%
0-18.9%
0-28.8%
1-36.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Willem II vs SC Cambuur?

Our prediction for Willem II vs SC Cambuur is SC Cambuur to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Willem II vs SC Cambuur?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Willem II to score 1.1 goals and SC Cambuur 1.8.

Will both teams score in Willem II vs SC Cambuur?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Willem II last 8 games and 5 of SC Cambuur last 8.

How are Willem II playing?

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 games, with 7 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are SC Cambuur playing?

SC Cambuur have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Willem II vs SC Cambuur?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Willem II against Cambuur. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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