PredictionsUnited StatesWinnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLFri 25 Sept, 20:30 United States time

Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Winnipeg JetsAway
2.4 : 3.8
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
24%Jets
76%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-541

Quick answer

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 76% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -541.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Winnipeg Jets 2, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -541

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
84% chanceFair price -5412 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 76% and Winnipeg Jets 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 1 of their last 5 and Winnipeg Jets won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Winnipeg Jets won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. Winnipeg Jets score 2.6 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.4 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Winnipeg Jets won 2. The last one ended Colorado Avalanche 2, Winnipeg Jets 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-3%
  • Jetsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Fri 25 Sept, 20:30 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 76% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -541.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 2, Winnipeg Jets won 2. Last time out it finished Colorado Avalanche 2, Winnipeg Jets 4.

Our call

We expect Winnipeg Jets to score about 2.4 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.8. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -541.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheJets
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored6153
Goals conceded4771
Scored per game3.02.6
Conceded per game2.43.5
Home record7W 4L4W 6L
Away record6W 3L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -2.532%+213
Avalanche -1.548%+109
Avalanche -0.564%-179
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 76% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -541.

What is the projected score for Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Colorado Avalanche 3.8, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Winnipeg Jets last met?

It ended Colorado Avalanche 2, Winnipeg Jets 4. In the last 4 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Winnipeg Jets won 2.

What is the best bet for Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche?

Under 8 goals at -541, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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