Predictions › United States › Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Winnipeg JetsAway
2.8 : 3.3
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
44%Jets
56%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-400

Quick answer

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -400.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Winnipeg Jets 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -400

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -4002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jets to win
37% chanceFair price +1671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 56% and Winnipeg Jets 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and Winnipeg Jets won 1 of their last 5. Detroit Red Wings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Winnipeg Jets won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.5. Winnipeg Jets score 2.5 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Winnipeg Jets won 0. The last one ended Winnipeg Jets 1, Detroit Red Wings 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Jetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings shade it

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -400.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 2, Winnipeg Jets won 0. Last time out it finished Winnipeg Jets 1, Detroit Red Wings 5.

Our call

We expect Winnipeg Jets to score about 2.8 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.3. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -400. Our bold bet is Jets to win at +167.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsJets
Games played2020
Wins78
Losses1312
Goals scored6051
Goals conceded7171
Scored per game3.02.5
Conceded per game3.53.5
Home record4W 7L3W 5L
Away record3W 6L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.534%+196
Red Wings -0.550%+100
Red Wings +0.566%-195
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -400.

What is the projected score for Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Winnipeg Jets 2.8 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Winnipeg Jets last met?

It ended Winnipeg Jets 1, Detroit Red Wings 5. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Winnipeg Jets won 0.

What is the best bet for Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings?

Under 8 goals at -400, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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