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Predictions › United States › Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLMon 5 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Winnipeg JetsAway
2.9 : 3.8
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
34%Jets
66%Penguins
Eagle safe pickPenguins +1
-373

Quick answer

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 66% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.9 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1 at -373.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Winnipeg Jets 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Penguins +1 at -373

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Penguins +1
79% chanceFair price -3732 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jets to win
32% chanceFair price +2131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 66% and Winnipeg Jets 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Winnipeg Jets won 1 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Penguins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Winnipeg Jets won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.4 goals a game and let in 3.5. Winnipeg Jets score 2.5 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Winnipeg Jets won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Winnipeg Jets 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Penguins +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
  • Jetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Mon 5 Oct, 19:30 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 66% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.9 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1 at -373.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Winnipeg Jets won 1. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Winnipeg Jets 4.

Our call

We expect Winnipeg Jets to score about 2.9 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.8. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Penguins +1 at -373. Our bold bet is Jets to win at +213.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsJets
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Goals scored6851
Goals conceded6971
Scored per game3.42.5
Conceded per game3.53.5
Home record5W 5L3W 5L
Away record4W 6L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -1.539%+154
Penguins -0.556%-127
Penguins +0.571%-249
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Penguins forward Kuzmenko steps away after father killed in Russia

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko has taken a leave of absence after his father, Alexander, was tragically killed by a bear in Russia.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 66% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.9 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1 at -373.

What is the projected score for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Winnipeg Jets 2.9 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Winnipeg Jets last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Winnipeg Jets 4. In the last 2 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Winnipeg Jets won 1.

What is the best bet for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Penguins +1 at -373, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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