Predictions › United States › Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins prediction

SECU Stadium

Wisconsin BadgersAway
19.3 : 25.0
projected points
Maryland TerrapinsHome
38%Wisconsin
62%Maryland
Eagle safe pickMaryland +4.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 62% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 19.3 and Maryland Terrapins 25.0. Our best bet is Maryland +4.5 at -303.

Prediction
Maryland Terrapins to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Wisconsin Badgers 19, Maryland Terrapins 25
Projected total
44.3 points
Best bet
Maryland +4.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Maryland +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wisconsin to win
35% chanceFair price +1861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Maryland Terrapins 62% and Wisconsin Badgers 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Maryland Terrapins won 0 of their last 5 and Wisconsin Badgers won 3 of their last 5. Wisconsin Badgers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Wisconsin Badgers won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Maryland Terrapins score 24.3 points a game and let in 30.8. Wisconsin Badgers score 15.8 and let in 21.4. Their recent games average 55.2 and 37.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Maryland Terrapins won 1 and Wisconsin Badgers won 0. The last one ended Wisconsin Badgers 10, Maryland Terrapins 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Maryland +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins: Maryland Terrapins are favourites

The big picture

Maryland Terrapins host Wisconsin Badgers in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at SECU Stadium. Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 62% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 19.3 and Maryland Terrapins 25.0. Our best bet is Maryland +4.5 at -303.

Maryland Terrapins form

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 438 points scored and 555 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 284 points scored and 386 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Maryland Terrapins won 1, Wisconsin Badgers won 0. Last time out it finished Wisconsin Badgers 10, Maryland Terrapins 27.

Our call

We expect Wisconsin Badgers to score about 19.3 points and Maryland Terrapins about 25.0. That points to Maryland Terrapins to win. Our safest bet is Maryland +4.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Wisconsin to win at +186.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

MarylandWisconsin
Games played1818
Wins47
Losses1411
Points scored438284
Points conceded555386
Scored per game24.315.8
Conceded per game30.821.4
Home record2W 8L6W 3L
Away record2W 6L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maryland spreadCoversFair
Maryland -12.534%+197
Maryland -8.543%+131
Maryland -5.551%-103
Maryland -2.558%-139
Maryland +1.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
37.566%34%
41.557%43%
44.550%50%
47.542%58%
51.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maryland +3.5 wins if Maryland win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins?

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 62% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 19.3 and Maryland Terrapins 25.0. Our best bet is Maryland +4.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins?

We project Wisconsin Badgers 19.3 and Maryland Terrapins 25.0, about 44.3 points in total.

How are Maryland Terrapins playing?

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 438 points scored and 555 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 284 points scored and 386 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Maryland Terrapins and Wisconsin Badgers last met?

It ended Wisconsin Badgers 10, Maryland Terrapins 27. In the last 1 meeting Maryland Terrapins won 1 and Wisconsin Badgers won 0.

What is the best bet for Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins?

Maryland +4.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maryland against Wisconsin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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