Predictions › United States › Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins prediction

Rose Bowl

Wisconsin BadgersAway
20.6 : 29.7
projected points
UCLA BruinsHome
26%Wisconsin
74%UCLA
Eagle safe pickWisconsin +19.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.6 and UCLA Bruins 29.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +19.5 at -300.

Prediction
UCLA Bruins to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Wisconsin Badgers 21, UCLA Bruins 30
Projected total
50.2 points
Best bet
Wisconsin +19.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wisconsin +19.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wisconsin to win
28% chanceFair price +2611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UCLA Bruins 74% and Wisconsin Badgers 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UCLA Bruins won 4 of their last 5 and Wisconsin Badgers won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UCLA Bruins won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Wisconsin Badgers won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UCLA Bruins score 26.0 points a game and let in 28.8. Wisconsin Badgers score 16.9 and let in 22.1. Their recent games average 54.8 and 39.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wisconsin +19.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins: UCLA Bruins are favourites

The big picture

UCLA Bruins host Wisconsin Badgers in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 00:00 at Rose Bowl. Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.6 and UCLA Bruins 29.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +19.5 at -300.

UCLA Bruins form

UCLA Bruins have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 364 points scored and 403 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 253 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wisconsin Badgers to score about 20.6 points and UCLA Bruins about 29.7. That points to UCLA Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Wisconsin +19.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Wisconsin to win at +261.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UCLAWisconsin
Games played1415
Wins76
Losses79
Points scored364253
Points conceded403332
Scored per game26.016.9
Conceded per game28.822.1
Home record4W 3L5W 3L
Away record3W 4L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UCLA spreadCoversFair
UCLA -16.532%+211
UCLA -12.542%+140
UCLA -9.549%+104
UCLA -6.556%-130
UCLA -2.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.557%43%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCLA +3.5 wins if UCLA win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins?

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.6 and UCLA Bruins 29.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +19.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins?

We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.6 and UCLA Bruins 29.7, about 50.2 points in total.

How are UCLA Bruins playing?

UCLA Bruins have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 364 points scored and 403 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 253 points scored and 332 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wisconsin Badgers vs UCLA Bruins?

Wisconsin +19.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCLA against Wisconsin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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