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Predictions › Austria › Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz
Austrian BundesligaSun 1 Nov, 13:30 Austria time

Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz prediction

Lavanttal-Arena

WolfsbergerHome
1.01 : 1.58
expected goals
SK Sturm GrazAway
23%Wolfsberger
27%Draw
50%Sturm Graz
Eagle safe pickSK Sturm Graz or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
SK Sturm Graz to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wolfsberger 1.0, SK Sturm Graz 1.6
Best bet
SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolfsberger 23%, the draw 27% and SK Sturm Graz 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolfsberger took 0 points from their last 5 games and SK Sturm Graz took 7 from 5. SK Sturm Graz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolfsberger won 3 of their last 10 games at home. SK Sturm Graz won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolfsberger score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. SK Sturm Graz score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wolfsberger games and 6 of SK Sturm Graz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Wolfsberger won 1 and SK Sturm Graz won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wolfsberger 2, SK Sturm Graz 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    SK Sturm Graz or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolfsbergerrecent form-6%
  • Sturm Grazrecent form-1%
Wolfsberger form D L L L LSturm Graz form D L W L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz: SK Sturm Graz are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolfsberger host SK Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 at Lavanttal-Arena. Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30.

Wolfsberger form

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

SK Sturm Graz form

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wolfsberger won 1, SK Sturm Graz won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wolfsberger 2, SK Sturm Graz 2.

Our call

We expect Wolfsberger to score about 1.0 goals and SK Sturm Graz about 1.6. That points to SK Sturm Graz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolfsbergerSturm Graz
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws59
Losses103
Goals scored1829
Goals conceded3020
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record3W 4D 3L4W 6D 0L
Away record2W 1D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.81
Both teams to score51%1.95
Wolfsberger or Draw50%2.00
SK Sturm Graz or Draw77%1.31
Wolfsberger to win and Over 2.513%7.80
SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.529%3.40
Wolfsberger clean sheet21%4.86
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet36%2.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-111.1%
1-29.5%
0-29.4%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz?

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Wolfsberger to score 1.0 goals and SK Sturm Graz 1.6.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Wolfsberger last 20 games and 11 of SK Sturm Graz last 20.

How are Wolfsberger playing?

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are SK Sturm Graz playing?

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Wolfsberger and SK Sturm Graz last met?

It ended Wolfsberger 2, SK Sturm Graz 2. In the last 2 meetings Wolfsberger won 1 and SK Sturm Graz won 0.

What is the best bet for Wolfsberger vs SK Sturm Graz?

SK Sturm Graz or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsberger against Sturm Graz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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