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Predictions › Austria › Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried
Austrian BundesligaSun 22 Nov, 13:30 Austria time

Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried prediction

Lavanttal-Arena

WolfsbergerHome
1.40 : 1.48
expected goals
SV Josko RiedAway
35%Wolfsberger
26%Draw
39%SV Josko Ried
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
SV Josko Ried to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wolfsberger 1.4, SV Josko Ried 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolfsberger 35%, the draw 26% and SV Josko Ried 39%. The bookmakers agree and make SV Josko Ried the favourite at 2.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolfsberger took 1 point from their last 5 games and SV Josko Ried took 8 from 5. SV Josko Ried come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolfsberger won 3 of their last 10 games at home. SV Josko Ried won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolfsberger score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. SV Josko Ried score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wolfsberger games and 12 of SV Josko Ried games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Wolfsberger won 1 and SV Josko Ried won 3 with 1 draw. The last one ended SV Josko Ried 4, Wolfsberger 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolfsbergerrecent form-4%
  • SV Josko Riedrecent form+3%
Wolfsberger form D D L L LSV Josko Ried form D D D W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried: SV Josko Ried shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolfsberger host SV Josko Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 at Lavanttal-Arena. Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Wolfsberger form

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

SV Josko Ried form

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Wolfsberger won 1, SV Josko Ried won 3 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished SV Josko Ried 4, Wolfsberger 1.

Our call

We expect Wolfsberger to score about 1.4 goals and SV Josko Ried about 1.5. That points to SV Josko Ried to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolfsbergerSV Josko Ried
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws54
Losses108
Goals scored1729
Goals conceded3232
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 4D 3L7W 1D 3L
Away record2W 1D 7L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored35%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wolfsberger to win34%2.922.65-9.2%
A Draw26%3.893.70-5.0%
SV Josko Ried to win38%2.652.30-13.2%
Over 3.5 goals37%2.682.25-16.2%
Under 3.5 goals57%1.741.54-11.7%
Wolfsberger +0.554%1.861.56-16.4%
SV Josko Ried -0.539%2.542.20-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.06
Both teams to score59%1.70
Wolfsberger or Draw61%1.63
SV Josko Ried or Draw65%1.54
Wolfsberger to win and Over 2.522%4.47
SV Josko Ried to win and Over 2.525%4.00
Wolfsberger clean sheet23%4.41
SV Josko Ried clean sheet25%4.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%
0-17.6%
1-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried?

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried is SV Josko Ried to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Wolfsberger to score 1.4 goals and SV Josko Ried 1.5.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Wolfsberger last 20 games and 14 of SV Josko Ried last 20.

How are Wolfsberger playing?

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are SV Josko Ried playing?

SV Josko Ried have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Wolfsberger and SV Josko Ried last met?

It ended SV Josko Ried 4, Wolfsberger 1. In the last 5 meetings Wolfsberger won 1 and SV Josko Ried won 3.

What is the best bet for Wolfsberger vs SV Josko Ried?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsberger against SV Josko Ried. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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