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Predictions › Austria › Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian BundesligaSun 18 Oct, 12:30 Austria time

Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol prediction

Lavanttal-Arena

WolfsbergerHome
1.34 : 1.11
expected goals
WSG Swarovski TirolAway
41%Wolfsberger
29%Draw
30%Swarovski Tirol
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol is Wolfsberger to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Wolfsberger to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wolfsberger 1.3, WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolfsberger 41%, the draw 29% and WSG Swarovski Tirol 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolfsberger took 1 point from their last 5 games and WSG Swarovski Tirol took 7 from 5. WSG Swarovski Tirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolfsberger won 3 of their last 10 games at home. WSG Swarovski Tirol won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolfsberger score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. WSG Swarovski Tirol score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Wolfsberger games and 12 of WSG Swarovski Tirol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Wolfsberger won 1 and WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wolfsberger 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolfsbergerrecent form-6%
Wolfsberger form L L L D LSwarovski Tirol form L D W W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol: Wolfsberger shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolfsberger host WSG Swarovski Tirol in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 at Lavanttal-Arena. Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol is Wolfsberger to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Wolfsberger form

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

WSG Swarovski Tirol form

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Wolfsberger won 1, WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wolfsberger 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0.

Our call

We expect Wolfsberger to score about 1.3 goals and WSG Swarovski Tirol about 1.1. That points to Wolfsberger to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolfsbergerSwarovski Tirol
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws66
Losses98
Goals scored2124
Goals conceded3037
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game1.51.9
Home record3W 5D 2L3W 5D 2L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.28
Both teams to score50%1.98
Wolfsberger or Draw70%1.43
WSG Swarovski Tirol or Draw59%1.70
Wolfsberger to win and Over 2.523%4.39
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.516%6.21
Wolfsberger clean sheet33%3.05
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet26%3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.7%
0-09.3%
0-18.8%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

Our prediction for Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol is Wolfsberger to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Wolfsberger to score 1.3 goals and WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.1.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Wolfsberger last 20 games and 10 of WSG Swarovski Tirol last 20.

How are Wolfsberger playing?

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are WSG Swarovski Tirol playing?

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Wolfsberger and WSG Swarovski Tirol last met?

It ended Wolfsberger 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0. In the last 3 meetings Wolfsberger won 1 and WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1.

What is the best bet for Wolfsberger vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsberger against Swarovski Tirol. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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