Predictions › United Kingdom › Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City prediction

Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton WanderersHome
1.74 : 1.19
expected goals
Cardiff CityAway
49%Wolves
25%Draw
26%Cardiff
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.7, Cardiff City 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 49%, the draw 25% and Cardiff City 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolverhampton Wanderers took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cardiff City took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolverhampton Wanderers won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Cardiff City won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Cardiff City score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games and 12 of Cardiff City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolvesrest between games-5%
Wolves form D W L L WCardiff form D W L W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites

The big picture

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Cardiff City in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Molineux Stadium. Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Cardiff City form

Cardiff City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score about 1.7 goals and Cardiff City about 1.2. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolvesCardiff
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws67
Losses76
Goals scored2739
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record3W 4D 2L6W 3D 1L
Away record4W 2D 5L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored55%80%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score58%8/11
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw74%1/3
Cardiff City or Draw51%Evens
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Cardiff City to win and Over 2.516%5/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet30%9/4
Cardiff City clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.6%
1-08.6%
2-08.0%
1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 1.7 goals and Cardiff City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20 games and 16 of Cardiff City last 20.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Cardiff City playing?

Cardiff City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolves against Cardiff. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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