Predictions › United Kingdom › Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic

ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton WanderersHome

2.24 : 0.78

expected goals

Charlton AthleticAway

70%Wolves

19%Draw

11%Charlton

Eagle safe pickWolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet

1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet at 1/6.

Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance: 70%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.2, Charlton Athletic 0.8
Best bet: Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet at 1/6
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet

86% chanceFair price 1/62 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5

45% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 70%, the draw 19% and Charlton Athletic 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Wolverhampton Wanderers the favourite at 3/10.
2
Recent form
Wolverhampton Wanderers took 11 points from their last 5 games and Charlton Athletic took 3 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Wolverhampton Wanderers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Charlton Athletic won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Charlton Athletic score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games and 13 of Charlton Athletic games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Wolvesrecent form+4%
Charltonrecent form-6%

Wolves form D W W W DCharlton form D L L L LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Molineux Stadium. Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet at 1/6.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score about 2.2 goals and Charlton Athletic about 0.8. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet at 1/6. Our bold bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Wolves	Charlton
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	4	9
Goals scored	33	21
Goals conceded	21	35
Scored per game	1.6	1.1
Conceded per game	1.1	1.8
Home record	5W 3D 1L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	5W 3D 3L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win	71%	2/5	3/10	-6.8%
A Draw	18%	9/2	4/1	-4.7%
Charlton Athletic to win	11%	17/2	15/2	-10.2%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	10/11	4/7	-16.8%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	6/4	5/4	-9.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1.5	46%	6/5	5/6	-16.5%
Charlton Athletic +1.5	47%	11/10	4/5	-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	2/9
Over 2.5 goals	58%	8/11
Over 3.5 goals	36%	9/5
Both teams to score	49%	21/20
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw	89%	1/8
Charlton Athletic or Draw	30%	12/5
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5	47%	11/10
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.5	6%	14/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet	46%	6/5
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	11%	17/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.2%

1-010.4%

2-19.6%

3-09.1%

1-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?

What is the score prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2.2 goals and Charlton Athletic 0.8.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20 games and 13 of Charlton Athletic last 20.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

What is the best bet for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?

Wolverhampton Wanderers draw no bet at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolves against Charlton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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