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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth
ChampionshipTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth prediction

Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton WanderersHome
1.94 : 1.06
expected goals
PortsmouthAway
57%Wolves
23%Draw
20%Portsmouth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.9, Portsmouth 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 57%, the draw 23% and Portsmouth 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolverhampton Wanderers took 7 points from their last 5 games and Portsmouth took 5 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolverhampton Wanderers won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Portsmouth score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games and 10 of Portsmouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolvesrecent form+1%
  • Portsmouthrecent form-1%
  • Wolvesrest between games-5%
Wolves form D W L W DPortsmouth form D D W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Portsmouth in the Championship on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at Molineux Stadium. Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score about 1.9 goals and Portsmouth about 1.1. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolvesPortsmouth
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws66
Losses88
Goals scored2625
Goals conceded3133
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 3D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record3W 3D 6L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1/4
Over 2.5 goals58%8/11
Over 3.5 goals35%9/5
Both teams to score57%8/11
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw80%1/4
Portsmouth or Draw43%11/8
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.539%8/5
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.512%7/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet34%15/8
Portsmouth clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-09.3%
1-09.0%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 1.9 goals and Portsmouth 1.1.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20 games and 13 of Portsmouth last 20.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolves against Portsmouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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