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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford
ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford prediction

Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton WanderersHome
2.01 : 0.92
expected goals
WatfordAway
62%Wolves
22%Draw
16%Watford
Eagle safe pickWolverhampton Wanderers or Draw
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9.

Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.0, Watford 0.9
Best bet
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 7/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 62%, the draw 22% and Watford 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wolverhampton Wanderers took 6 points from their last 5 games and Watford took 3 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wolverhampton Wanderers won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Watford won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Watford score 0.7 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games and 10 of Watford games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Watfordrecent form-3%
  • Wolvesrest between games-5%
  • Watfordrest between games-5%
Wolves form D L W L WWatford form D L L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Watford in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Molineux Stadium. Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Watford form

Watford have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score about 2.0 goals and Watford about 0.9. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9. Our bold bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 7/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolvesWatford
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws64
Losses813
Goals scored2613
Goals conceded3143
Scored per game1.30.7
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record3W 3D 2L3W 3D 5L
Away record3W 3D 6L0W 1D 8L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score53%10/11
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw84%2/11
Watford or Draw38%13/8
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.541%7/5
Watford to win and Over 2.59%10/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet40%6/4
Watford clean sheet13%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.8%
1-110.5%
1-010.1%
2-19.9%
3-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2.0 goals and Watford 0.9.

Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20 games and 10 of Watford last 20.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolves against Watford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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