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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
ChampionshipWed 4 Nov, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction

STōK Cae Ras

WrexhamHome
1.50 : 1.91
expected goals
MiddlesbroughAway
30%Wrexham
23%Draw
47%Boro
Eagle safe pickMiddlesbrough or Draw
2/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough is Middlesbrough to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5.

Prediction
Middlesbrough to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wrexham 1.5, Middlesbrough 1.9
Best bet
Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Middlesbrough or Draw
71% chanceFair price 2/51 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wrexham 30%, the draw 23% and Middlesbrough 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wrexham took 7 points from their last 5 games and Middlesbrough took 11 from 5. Middlesbrough come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wrexham won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Middlesbrough won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wrexham score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Middlesbrough score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wrexham games and 14 of Middlesbrough games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Wrexham won 0 and Middlesbrough won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Middlesbrough 1, Wrexham 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Middlesbrough or Draw has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wrexhamrecent form+1%
  • Bororecent form+3%
  • Wrexhamrest between games-5%
  • Bororest between games-2%
Wrexham form D W L D WBoro form D D W W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wrexham host Middlesbrough in the Championship on Wed 4 Nov, 19:45 at STōK Cae Ras. Our prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough is Middlesbrough to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Middlesbrough form

Middlesbrough have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Wrexham won 0, Middlesbrough won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Middlesbrough 1, Wrexham 0.

Our call

We expect Wrexham to score about 1.5 goals and Middlesbrough about 1.9. That points to Middlesbrough to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5. Our bold bet is Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WrexhamBoro
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws76
Losses84
Goals scored2439
Goals conceded3327
Scored per game1.21.9
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 3D 3L6W 3D 0L
Away record2W 4D 5L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1/6
Over 2.5 goals66%1/2
Over 3.5 goals44%5/4
Both teams to score67%1/2
Wrexham or Draw53%10/11
Middlesbrough or Draw70%4/9
Wrexham to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.535%15/8
Wrexham clean sheet15%11/2
Middlesbrough clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-29.0%
2-17.1%
2-26.8%
0-26.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

West Ham Dominate Wrexham in Record Breaking London Stadium Match

Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

11 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough is Middlesbrough to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5.

What is the score prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Wrexham to score 1.5 goals and Middlesbrough 1.9.

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Wrexham last 20 games and 14 of Middlesbrough last 20.

How are Wrexham playing?

Wrexham have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Middlesbrough playing?

Middlesbrough have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Wrexham and Middlesbrough last met?

It ended Middlesbrough 1, Wrexham 0. In the last 3 meetings Wrexham won 0 and Middlesbrough won 1.

What is the best bet for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough or Draw at 2/5, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wrexham against Boro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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