Predictions › United Kingdom › Wrexham vs Preston North End
ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wrexham vs Preston North End prediction

STōK Cae Ras

WrexhamHome
1.73 : 1.32
expected goals
Preston North EndAway
47%Wrexham
25%Draw
29%Preston
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Preston North End is Wrexham to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Wrexham to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wrexham 1.7, Preston North End 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wrexham to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wrexham 47%, the draw 25% and Preston North End 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wrexham took 8 points from their last 5 games and Preston North End took 4 from 5. Wrexham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wrexham won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Preston North End won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wrexham score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Preston North End score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Wrexham games and 14 of Preston North End games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 1 and Preston North End won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wrexham 2, Preston North End 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wrexhamrecent form+1%
  • Prestonrecent form-3%
Wrexham form W L D D WPreston form D L L W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wrexham vs Preston North End: Wrexham are favourites

The big picture

Wrexham host Preston North End in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at STōK Cae Ras. Our prediction for Wrexham vs Preston North End is Wrexham to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wrexham won 1, Preston North End won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wrexham 2, Preston North End 1.

Our call

We expect Wrexham to score about 1.7 goals and Preston North End about 1.3. That points to Wrexham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Wrexham to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WrexhamPreston
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws64
Losses812
Goals scored2422
Goals conceded3339
Scored per game1.21.1
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record3W 3D 3L2W 2D 6L
Away record3W 3D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%8/11
Over 3.5 goals36%7/4
Both teams to score61%8/13
Wrexham or Draw71%2/5
Preston North End or Draw53%10/11
Wrexham to win and Over 2.532%85/40
Preston North End to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Wrexham clean sheet27%11/4
Preston North End clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-07.5%
1-27.1%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Wrexham vs Preston North End?

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Preston North End is Wrexham to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Wrexham vs Preston North End?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Wrexham to score 1.7 goals and Preston North End 1.3.

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Preston North End?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Wrexham last 20 games and 14 of Preston North End last 20.

How are Wrexham playing?

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Preston North End playing?

Preston North End have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Wrexham and Preston North End last met?

It ended Wrexham 2, Preston North End 1. In the last 2 meetings Wrexham won 1 and Preston North End won 0.

What is the best bet for Wrexham vs Preston North End?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wrexham against Preston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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