Predictions › United Kingdom › Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion
ChampionshipTue 13 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

STōK Cae Ras

WrexhamHome
1.48 : 1.10
expected goals
West Bromwich AlbionAway
45%Wrexham
27%Draw
27%West Brom
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion is Wrexham to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Wrexham to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wrexham 1.5, West Bromwich Albion 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wrexham to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wrexham 45%, the draw 27% and West Bromwich Albion 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wrexham took 8 points from their last 5 games and West Bromwich Albion took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wrexham won 3 of their last 9 games at home. West Bromwich Albion won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wrexham score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. West Bromwich Albion score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Wrexham games and 9 of West Bromwich Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Wrexham won 0 and West Bromwich Albion won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended West Bromwich Albion 2, Wrexham 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wrexhamrecent form+1%
  • West Bromrecent form+1%
Wrexham form W L D D WWest Brom form L D W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion: Wrexham are favourites

The big picture

Wrexham host West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 at STōK Cae Ras. Our prediction for Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion is Wrexham to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Wrexham won 0, West Bromwich Albion won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished West Bromwich Albion 2, Wrexham 2.

Our call

We expect Wrexham to score about 1.5 goals and West Bromwich Albion about 1.1. That points to Wrexham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Wrexham to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WrexhamWest Brom
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws67
Losses84
Goals scored2429
Goals conceded3317
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.60.8
Home record3W 3D 3L4W 6D 0L
Away record3W 3D 5L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%4/11
Over 2.5 goals48%11/10
Over 3.5 goals26%11/4
Both teams to score52%10/11
Wrexham or Draw73%4/11
West Bromwich Albion or Draw55%5/6
Wrexham to win and Over 2.526%11/4
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Wrexham clean sheet33%2/1
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet23%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-010.5%
2-19.1%
0-08.3%
2-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion?

Our prediction for Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion is Wrexham to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Wrexham to score 1.5 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.1.

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Wrexham last 20 games and 10 of West Bromwich Albion last 20.

How are Wrexham playing?

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Wrexham and West Bromwich Albion last met?

It ended West Bromwich Albion 2, Wrexham 2. In the last 1 meeting Wrexham won 0 and West Bromwich Albion won 0.

What is the best bet for Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wrexham against West Brom. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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