EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Austria › WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau
Austrian BundesligaSat 21 Nov, 16:00 Austria time

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau prediction

Tivoli Stadion Tirol

WSG Swarovski TirolHome
2.03 : 1.25
expected goals
Austria LustenauAway
55%Swarovski Tirol
23%Draw
23%Austria Lustenau
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
WSG Swarovski Tirol 2.0, Austria Lustenau 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives WSG Swarovski Tirol 55%, the draw 23% and Austria Lustenau 23%. The bookmakers agree and make WSG Swarovski Tirol the favourite at 1.67.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    WSG Swarovski Tirol took 5 points from their last 5 games and Austria Lustenau took 3 from 5. WSG Swarovski Tirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    WSG Swarovski Tirol won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Austria Lustenau won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    WSG Swarovski Tirol score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Austria Lustenau score 1.3 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of WSG Swarovski Tirol games and 9 of Austria Lustenau games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 and Austria Lustenau won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Austria Lustenau 0, WSG Swarovski Tirol 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Swarovski Tirolrecent form-1%
  • Austria Lustenaurecent form-6%
Swarovski Tirol form D L D W LAustria Lustenau form D L L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau: WSG Swarovski Tirol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

WSG Swarovski Tirol host Austria Lustenau in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol. Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

WSG Swarovski Tirol form

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Austria Lustenau form

Austria Lustenau have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1, Austria Lustenau won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Austria Lustenau 0, WSG Swarovski Tirol 4.

Our call

We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score about 2.0 goals and Austria Lustenau about 1.3. That points to WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Swarovski TirolAustria Lustenau
Games played2012
Wins53
Draws72
Losses87
Goals scored2215
Goals conceded3330
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.62.5
Home record2W 6D 2L3W 1D 2L
Away record3W 1D 6L0W 1D 5L
Clean sheets25%8%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win50%1.991.67-16.4%
A Draw22%4.584.10-10.5%
Austria Lustenau to win22%4.574.20-8.1%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.522.25-10.7%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.881.54-17.9%
WSG Swarovski Tirol -0.551%1.981.63-17.7%
Austria Lustenau +0.542%2.362.05-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.57
Over 3.5 goals41%2.41
Both teams to score62%1.60
WSG Swarovski Tirol or Draw77%1.29
Austria Lustenau or Draw45%2.22
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.540%2.50
Austria Lustenau to win and Over 2.515%6.45
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet29%3.48
Austria Lustenau clean sheet13%7.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%
1-07.1%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 2.0 goals and Austria Lustenau 1.3.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of WSG Swarovski Tirol last 20 games and 9 of Austria Lustenau last 12.

How are WSG Swarovski Tirol playing?

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Austria Lustenau playing?

Austria Lustenau have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when WSG Swarovski Tirol and Austria Lustenau last met?

It ended Austria Lustenau 0, WSG Swarovski Tirol 4. In the last 1 meeting WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 and Austria Lustenau won 0.

What is the best bet for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swarovski Tirol against Austria Lustenau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.