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Predictions › Austria › WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK
Austrian BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 15:00 Austria time

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK prediction

Tivoli Stadion Tirol

WSG Swarovski TirolHome
1.63 : 1.27
expected goals
Grazer AKAway
45%Swarovski Tirol
26%Draw
29%Grazer
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.6, Grazer AK 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives WSG Swarovski Tirol 45%, the draw 26% and Grazer AK 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    WSG Swarovski Tirol took 7 points from their last 5 games and Grazer AK took 6 from 5. WSG Swarovski Tirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    WSG Swarovski Tirol won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Grazer AK won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    WSG Swarovski Tirol score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Grazer AK score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of WSG Swarovski Tirol games and 12 of Grazer AK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 and Grazer AK won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Grazer AK 4, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Swarovski Tirolrecent form+1%
Swarovski Tirol form D L D W WGrazer form D D W D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK: WSG Swarovski Tirol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

WSG Swarovski Tirol host Grazer AK in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol. Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

WSG Swarovski Tirol form

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Grazer AK form

Grazer AK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1, Grazer AK won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Grazer AK 4, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0.

Our call

We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score about 1.6 goals and Grazer AK about 1.3. That points to WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Swarovski TirolGrazer
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws55
Losses97
Goals scored2428
Goals conceded3828
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record3W 4D 3L5W 5D 0L
Away record3W 1D 6L3W 0D 7L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.04
Both teams to score58%1.71
WSG Swarovski Tirol or Draw71%1.41
Grazer AK or Draw55%1.82
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.529%3.39
Grazer AK to win and Over 2.518%5.45
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet28%3.55
Grazer AK clean sheet20%5.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.3%
1-08.3%
2-07.3%
1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 1.6 goals and Grazer AK 1.3.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of WSG Swarovski Tirol last 20 games and 9 of Grazer AK last 20.

How are WSG Swarovski Tirol playing?

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Grazer AK playing?

Grazer AK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when WSG Swarovski Tirol and Grazer AK last met?

It ended Grazer AK 4, WSG Swarovski Tirol 0. In the last 3 meetings WSG Swarovski Tirol won 1 and Grazer AK won 2.

What is the best bet for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swarovski Tirol against Grazer. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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