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Predictions › Austria › WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg
Austrian BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 12:30 Austria time

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg prediction

Tivoli Stadion Tirol

WSG Swarovski TirolHome
1.32 : 1.28
expected goals
TSV HartbergAway
37%Swarovski Tirol
28%Draw
35%TSV Hartberg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.3, TSV Hartberg 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

TSV Hartberg to win
33% chancePrice 3.15+3.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives WSG Swarovski Tirol 37%, the draw 28% and TSV Hartberg 35%. The bookmakers agree and make WSG Swarovski Tirol the favourite at 2.15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    WSG Swarovski Tirol took 7 points from their last 5 games and TSV Hartberg took 6 from 5. WSG Swarovski Tirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    WSG Swarovski Tirol won 4 of their last 10 games at home. TSV Hartberg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    WSG Swarovski Tirol score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. TSV Hartberg score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of WSG Swarovski Tirol games and 7 of TSV Hartberg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, WSG Swarovski Tirol won 0 and TSV Hartberg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended TSV Hartberg 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • TSV Hartbergrecent form-1%
Swarovski Tirol form W W L L DTSV Hartberg form W W L L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg: WSG Swarovski Tirol shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

WSG Swarovski Tirol host TSV Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 13 Sept, 12:30 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol. Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

WSG Swarovski Tirol form

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

TSV Hartberg form

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. WSG Swarovski Tirol won 0, TSV Hartberg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished TSV Hartberg 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.

Our call

We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score about 1.3 goals and TSV Hartberg about 1.3. That points to WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is TSV Hartberg to win at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Swarovski TirolTSV Hartberg
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws57
Losses88
Goals scored2319
Goals conceded3326
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record4W 4D 2L2W 3D 6L
Away record3W 1D 6L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win34%2.912.15-26.2%
A Draw27%3.773.60-4.6%
TSV Hartberg to win33%3.053.15+3.2%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.961.74-11.2%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.152.00-7.0%
WSG Swarovski Tirol -0.540%2.532.05-19.0%
TSV Hartberg +0.558%1.721.67-3.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.80
Both teams to score54%1.87
WSG Swarovski Tirol or Draw65%1.54
TSV Hartberg or Draw63%1.59
WSG Swarovski Tirol to win and Over 2.521%4.66
TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.520%4.96
WSG Swarovski Tirol clean sheet28%3.58
TSV Hartberg clean sheet27%3.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-09.1%
0-18.8%
2-18.3%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg?

Our prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg is WSG Swarovski Tirol to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect WSG Swarovski Tirol to score 1.3 goals and TSV Hartberg 1.3.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of WSG Swarovski Tirol last 20 games and 9 of TSV Hartberg last 20.

How are WSG Swarovski Tirol playing?

WSG Swarovski Tirol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are TSV Hartberg playing?

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when WSG Swarovski Tirol and TSV Hartberg last met?

It ended TSV Hartberg 2, WSG Swarovski Tirol 1. In the last 1 meeting WSG Swarovski Tirol won 0 and TSV Hartberg won 1.

What is the best bet for WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swarovski Tirol against TSV Hartberg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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