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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion
League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion prediction

Adams Park

Wycombe WanderersHome
1.67 : 1.07
expected goals
Burton AlbionAway
51%Wycombe
26%Draw
24%Burton Albion
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Wycombe Wanderers to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wycombe Wanderers 1.7, Burton Albion 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wycombe Wanderers 51%, the draw 26% and Burton Albion 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wycombe Wanderers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Burton Albion took 5 from 5. Wycombe Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wycombe Wanderers won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Burton Albion won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wycombe Wanderers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. Burton Albion score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers games and 10 of Burton Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Wycombe Wanderers won 1 and Burton Albion won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wycombe Wanderers 3, Burton Albion 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wycomberecent form+1%
  • Burton Albionrecent form-1%
  • Wycomberest between games-5%
  • Burton Albionrest between games-5%
Wycombe form D W L W DBurton Albion form D D L W LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion: Wycombe Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wycombe Wanderers host Burton Albion in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Adams Park. Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Wycombe Wanderers form

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wycombe Wanderers won 1, Burton Albion won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wycombe Wanderers 3, Burton Albion 0.

Our call

We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score about 1.7 goals and Burton Albion about 1.1. That points to Wycombe Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WycombeBurton Albion
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws610
Losses96
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded4126
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game2.01.3
Home record3W 3D 5L2W 6D 2L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals29%12/5
Both teams to score54%5/6
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw76%3/10
Burton Albion or Draw49%21/20
Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.532%11/5
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.514%13/2
Wycombe Wanderers clean sheet34%15/8
Burton Albion clean sheet19%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-010.1%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score 1.7 goals and Burton Albion 1.1.

Will both teams score in Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers last 20 games and 13 of Burton Albion last 20.

How are Wycombe Wanderers playing?

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Burton Albion playing?

Burton Albion have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Wycombe Wanderers and Burton Albion last met?

It ended Wycombe Wanderers 3, Burton Albion 0. In the last 2 meetings Wycombe Wanderers won 1 and Burton Albion won 0.

What is the best bet for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wycombe against Burton Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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