Predictions › United Kingdom › Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town

League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town prediction

Adams Park

Wycombe WanderersHome

2.31 : 1.52

expected goals

Luton TownAway

55%Wycombe

21%Draw

24%Luton

Eagle safe pickWycombe Wanderers or Draw

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3.

Prediction: Wycombe Wanderers to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Wycombe Wanderers 2.3, Luton Town 1.5
Best bet: Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3
Both teams to score: 71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wycombe Wanderers or Draw

75% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 7/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Wycombe Wanderers 55%, the draw 21% and Luton Town 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Wycombe Wanderers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Luton Town took 4 from 5. Wycombe Wanderers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Wycombe Wanderers won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Luton Town won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Wycombe Wanderers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. Luton Town score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers games and 13 of Luton Town games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Wycombe Wanderers won 0 and Luton Town won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Wycombe Wanderers 1, Luton Town 2.
6
The safest bet
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Wycomberecent form+4%

Wycombe form D W W W DLuton form W L L D WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town: Wycombe Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wycombe Wanderers host Luton Town in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Adams Park. Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3.

Wycombe Wanderers form

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Luton Town form

Luton Town have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Wycombe Wanderers won 0, Luton Town won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Wycombe Wanderers 1, Luton Town 2.

Our call

We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score about 2.3 goals and Luton Town about 1.5. That points to Wycombe Wanderers to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3. Our bold bet is Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 7/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Wycombe	Luton
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	4
Goals scored	33	38
Goals conceded	40	28
Scored per game	1.6	1.9
Conceded per game	2.0	1.4
Home record	2W 3D 5L	5W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1/9
Over 2.5 goals	74%	4/11
Over 3.5 goals	53%	10/11
Both teams to score	71%	2/5
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw	76%	1/3
Luton Town or Draw	45%	6/5
Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5	45%	5/4
Luton Town to win and Over 2.5	19%	4/1
Wycombe Wanderers clean sheet	22%	7/2
Luton Town clean sheet	10%	9/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.8%

1-18.1%

3-16.8%

2-26.7%

2-05.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town?

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score 2.3 goals and Luton Town 1.5.

Will both teams score in Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers last 20 games and 14 of Luton Town last 20.

How are Wycombe Wanderers playing?

How are Luton Town playing?

What happened when Wycombe Wanderers and Luton Town last met?

It ended Wycombe Wanderers 1, Luton Town 2. In the last 2 meetings Wycombe Wanderers won 0 and Luton Town won 2.

What is the best bet for Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town?

Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wycombe against Luton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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