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Predictions › United Kingdom › Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County
League OneSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County prediction

Adams Park

Wycombe WanderersHome
1.99 : 1.11
expected goals
Notts CountyAway
57%Wycombe
23%Draw
20%Notts County
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Wycombe Wanderers to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Wycombe Wanderers 2.0, Notts County 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wycombe Wanderers 57%, the draw 23% and Notts County 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wycombe Wanderers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Notts County took 5 from 5. Wycombe Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wycombe Wanderers won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Notts County won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Wycombe Wanderers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. Notts County score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers games and 3 of Notts County games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wycomberecent form+4%
  • Notts Countyrecent form-1%
Wycombe form D D W W WNotts County form W L L D DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County: Wycombe Wanderers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wycombe Wanderers host Notts County in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Adams Park. Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Wycombe Wanderers form

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Notts County form

Notts County have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score about 2.0 goals and Notts County about 1.1. That points to Wycombe Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WycombeNotts County
Games played209
Wins51
Draws56
Losses102
Goals scored3310
Goals conceded4012
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game2.01.3
Home record2W 3D 5L1W 1D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L0W 5D 1L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored70%78%
Over 2.5 goals70%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals38%13/8
Both teams to score58%8/11
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw80%1/4
Notts County or Draw43%11/8
Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.540%6/4
Notts County to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Wycombe Wanderers clean sheet33%2/1
Notts County clean sheet14%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%
1-08.4%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

Our prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Wycombe Wanderers to score 2.0 goals and Notts County 1.1.

Will both teams score in Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Wycombe Wanderers last 20 games and 7 of Notts County last 9.

How are Wycombe Wanderers playing?

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wycombe against Notts County. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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