Predictions › United States › Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison prediction

Fargodome

Wyoming CowboysAway
13.3 : 32.5
projected points
North Dakota State BisonHome
13%Wyoming
87%N Dakota St
Eagle safe pickN Dakota St -8.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Wyoming Cowboys 13.3 and North Dakota State Bison 32.5. Our best bet is N Dakota St -8.5 at -302.

Prediction
North Dakota State Bison to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Wyoming Cowboys 13, North Dakota State Bison 32
Projected total
45.7 points
Best bet
N Dakota St -8.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

N Dakota St -8.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Dakota State Bison 87% and Wyoming Cowboys 13%. The bookmakers agree and make North Dakota State Bison the favourite at -1351.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Dakota State Bison won 4 of their last 5 and Wyoming Cowboys won 2 of their last 5. North Dakota State Bison come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Dakota State Bison won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Wyoming Cowboys won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Dakota State Bison score 38.5 points a game and let in 14.3. Wyoming Cowboys score 15.9 and let in 22.9. Their recent games average 52.8 and 38.8 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    N Dakota St -8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wyomingrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison: North Dakota State Bison are favourites

The big picture

North Dakota State Bison host Wyoming Cowboys in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Fargodome. Our prediction for Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Wyoming Cowboys 13.3 and North Dakota State Bison 32.5. Our best bet is N Dakota St -8.5 at -302.

North Dakota State Bison form

North Dakota State Bison have 14 wins and 1 loss in their last 15 games, with 577 points scored and 215 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Wyoming Cowboys form

Wyoming Cowboys have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 222 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wyoming Cowboys to score about 13.3 points and North Dakota State Bison about 32.5. That points to North Dakota State Bison to win. Our safest bet is N Dakota St -8.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

N Dakota StWyoming
Games played1514
Wins144
Losses110
Points scored577222
Points conceded215321
Scored per game38.515.9
Conceded per game14.322.9
Home record8W 1L4W 3L
Away record6W 0L0W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
N Dakota St to win87%-651-1351-6.9%
Wyoming to win9%+1044+800-21.3%
N Dakota St -18.549%+106-115-9.2%
Wyoming +18.545%+121-105-11.8%
Over 45.5 points47%+111-112-10.2%
Under 45.5 points46%+116-108-10.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

N Dakota St spreadCoversFair
N Dakota St -26.532%+209
N Dakota St -22.542%+139
N Dakota St -19.549%+103
N Dakota St -16.557%-131
N Dakota St -12.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.558%42%
45.551%49%
48.543%57%
52.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. N Dakota St +3.5 wins if N Dakota St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison?

Our prediction for Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 87% chance. We project Wyoming Cowboys 13.3 and North Dakota State Bison 32.5. Our best bet is N Dakota St -8.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison?

We project Wyoming Cowboys 13.3 and North Dakota State Bison 32.5, about 45.7 points in total.

How are North Dakota State Bison playing?

North Dakota State Bison have 14 wins and 1 loss in their last 15 games, with 577 points scored and 215 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Wyoming Cowboys playing?

Wyoming Cowboys have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 222 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison?

N Dakota St -8.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in N Dakota St against Wyoming. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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