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Predictions › United States › Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
MLBTue 13 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction

Tropicana Field

Cleveland GuardiansAway
4.0 : 4.0
projected runs
Tampa Bay RaysHome
53%Guardians
47%Rays
Eagle safe pickGuardians +2.5
-286

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Guardians 4.0 and Tampa Bay Rays 4.0. Our best bet is Guardians +2.5 at -286.

Prediction
Cleveland Guardians to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Cleveland Guardians 4, Tampa Bay Rays 4
Projected total
8.0 runs
Best bet
Guardians +2.5 at -286

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Guardians +2.5
74% chanceFair price -2861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Rays 47% and Cleveland Guardians 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Rays won 4 of their last 5 and Cleveland Guardians won 3 of their last 5. Tampa Bay Rays come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Rays won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Cleveland Guardians won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Rays score 4.3 runs a game and let in 2.6. Cleveland Guardians score 5.2 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.8 and 8.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Tampa Bay Rays won 4 and Cleveland Guardians won 1. The last one ended Tampa Bay Rays 1, Cleveland Guardians 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Guardians +2.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Guardiansrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays: Cleveland Guardians shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Rays host Cleveland Guardians in the MLB on Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 at Tropicana Field. Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Guardians 4.0 and Tampa Bay Rays 4.0. Our best bet is Guardians +2.5 at -286.

Tampa Bay Rays form

Tampa Bay Rays have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Cleveland Guardians form

Cleveland Guardians have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Tampa Bay Rays won 4, Cleveland Guardians won 1. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Rays 1, Cleveland Guardians 0.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Guardians to score about 4.0 runs and Tampa Bay Rays about 4.0. That points to Cleveland Guardians to win. Our safest bet is Guardians +2.5 at -286.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RaysGuardians
Games played2020
Wins1414
Losses66
Runs scored85103
Runs conceded5268
Scored per game4.35.2
Conceded per game2.63.4
Home record10W 1L6W 3L
Away record4W 5L8W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rays spreadCoversFair
Rays -2.528%+262
Rays -1.536%+177
Rays -0.545%+121
Rays +0.555%-121
Rays +1.564%-178
Total runsOverUnder
6.563%37%
7.555%45%
8.546%54%
9.537%63%
10.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rays +3.5 wins if Rays win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Guardians Mock White Sox After Clinching ALDS in Game 5

Cleveland overcame a 2-0 deficit to beat the White Sox in Game 5 and wasted no time trolling their rivals.

2 hours ago
MLB

Cleveland Hosts Chicago In Decisive ALDS Game 5

The Guardians and White Sox settle their ALDS battle in Game 5. Here is what to expect before first pitch.

19 hours ago
MLB

Guardians Force Game 5 With Huge Rally Against White Sox

Jose Ramirez homered and drove in three runs as the Cleveland Guardians beat the Chicago White Sox 9-5 to force a decisive Game 5.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Guardians 4.0 and Tampa Bay Rays 4.0. Our best bet is Guardians +2.5 at -286.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

We project Cleveland Guardians 4.0 and Tampa Bay Rays 4.0, about 8.0 runs in total.

How are Tampa Bay Rays playing?

Tampa Bay Rays have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Cleveland Guardians playing?

Cleveland Guardians have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Rays 1, Cleveland Guardians 0. In the last 5 meetings Tampa Bay Rays won 4 and Cleveland Guardians won 1.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Guardians +2.5 at -286, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rays against Guardians. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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