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Predictions › Japan › Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale
J1 LeagueSun 1 Nov, 04:00 Japan time

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction

Nissan Stadium

Yokohama F. MarinosHome
1.44 : 1.18
expected goals
Kawasaki FrontaleAway
42%Yokohama FM
28%Draw
30%Kawasaki
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.4, Kawasaki Frontale 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos 42%, the draw 28% and Kawasaki Frontale 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Yokohama F. Marinos took 7 points from their last 5 games and Kawasaki Frontale took 10 from 5. Kawasaki Frontale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Yokohama F. Marinos won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Kawasaki Frontale won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Kawasaki Frontale score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Yokohama F. Marinos games and 11 of Kawasaki Frontale games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Yokohama F. Marinos 1, Kawasaki Frontale 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yokohama FMrecent form+1%
  • Kawasakirecent form+1%
  • Yokohama FMrest between games-5%
  • Kawasakirest between games-5%
Yokohama FM form D D D W DKawasaki form D W L D WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale: Yokohama F. Marinos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Yokohama F. Marinos host Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League on Sun 1 Nov, 04:00 at Nissan Stadium. Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Yokohama F. Marinos won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Yokohama F. Marinos 1, Kawasaki Frontale 2.

Our call

We expect Yokohama F. Marinos to score about 1.4 goals and Kawasaki Frontale about 1.2. That points to Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Yokohama FMKawasaki
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws85
Losses47
Goals scored3331
Goals conceded2128
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record3W 4D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record5W 4D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.74
Both teams to score54%1.87
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw70%1.43
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw58%1.73
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.525%4.00
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.517%5.80
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet31%3.25
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet24%4.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.8%
2-18.9%
0-08.1%
0-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Yokohama F. Marinos to score 1.4 goals and Kawasaki Frontale 1.2.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20 games and 14 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale last met?

It ended Yokohama F. Marinos 1, Kawasaki Frontale 2. In the last 3 meetings Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 2.

What is the best bet for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Yokohama FM against Kawasaki. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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