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Predictions › Japan › Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969 prediction

Japan National Stadium

Yokohama F. MarinosHome
1.52 : 0.78
expected goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969Away
54%Yokohama FM
27%Draw
19%Tokyo Verdy
Eagle safe pickYokohama F. Marinos or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969 is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.5, Tokyo Verdy 1969 0.8
Best bet
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos 54%, the draw 27% and Tokyo Verdy 1969 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Yokohama F. Marinos took 9 points from their last 5 games and Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 from 5. Yokohama F. Marinos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Yokohama F. Marinos won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Yokohama F. Marinos games and 6 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 2 and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Yokohama F. Marinos 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yokohama FMrecent form+3%
  • Tokyo Verdyrecent form-3%
  • Yokohama FMrest between games-5%
  • Tokyo Verdyrest between games-5%
Yokohama FM form D W D W DTokyo Verdy form D L D D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969: Yokohama F. Marinos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy 1969 in the J1 League on Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 at Japan National Stadium. Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969 is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Yokohama F. Marinos won 2, Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Yokohama F. Marinos 6.

Our call

We expect Yokohama F. Marinos to score about 1.5 goals and Tokyo Verdy 1969 about 0.8. That points to Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Yokohama FMTokyo Verdy
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws67
Losses69
Goals scored3314
Goals conceded2430
Scored per game1.60.7
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record3W 3D 4L3W 2D 6L
Away record5W 3D 2L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.47
Over 3.5 goals20%4.97
Both teams to score43%2.32
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw81%1.23
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw46%2.17
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.528%3.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.58%11.88
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet46%2.19
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet22%4.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
1-112.6%
2-011.5%
0-010.7%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

Our prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969 is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Yokohama F. Marinos to score 1.5 goals and Tokyo Verdy 1969 0.8.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20 games and 9 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy 1969 last met?

It ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 0, Yokohama F. Marinos 6. In the last 2 meetings Yokohama F. Marinos won 2 and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0.

What is the best bet for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Yokohama FM against Tokyo Verdy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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