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Predictions › United Kingdom › York City vs Northampton Town
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

York City vs Northampton Town prediction

LNER Community Stadium

York CityHome
1.91 : 1.34
expected goals
Northampton TownAway
50%York City
24%Draw
26%Northampton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for York City vs Northampton Town is York City to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
York City to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
York City 1.9, Northampton Town 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

York City to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 9/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives York City 50%, the draw 24% and Northampton Town 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    York City took 0 points from their last 2 games and Northampton Town took 0 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    York City score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.5. Northampton Town score 0.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of York City games and 11 of Northampton Town games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • York Cityrecent form+1%
  • Northamptonrecent form-1%
  • York Cityrest between games-3%
  • Northamptonrest between games-3%
York City form D W D D DNorthampton form D L W D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

York City vs Northampton Town: York City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

York City host Northampton Town in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at LNER Community Stadium. Our prediction for York City vs Northampton Town is York City to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

York City form

York City have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Northampton Town form

Northampton Town have 1 win, 3 draws and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect York City to score about 1.9 goals and Northampton Town about 1.3. That points to York City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is York City to win and Over 2.5 at 9/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

York CityNorthampton
Games played220
Wins01
Draws03
Losses216
Goals scored215
Goals conceded541
Scored per game1.00.8
Conceded per game2.52.0
Home record0W 0D 1L1W 1D 8L
Away record0W 0D 1L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets0%5%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%6/4
Both teams to score63%4/7
York City or Draw74%4/11
Northampton Town or Draw50%Evens
York City to win and Over 2.536%7/4
Northampton Town to win and Over 2.518%9/2
York City clean sheet26%11/4
Northampton Town clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%
1-06.9%
1-26.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win York City vs Northampton Town?

Our prediction for York City vs Northampton Town is York City to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for York City vs Northampton Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect York City to score 1.9 goals and Northampton Town 1.3.

Will both teams score in York City vs Northampton Town?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of York City last 2 games and 11 of Northampton Town last 20.

How are York City playing?

York City have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

How are Northampton Town playing?

Northampton Town have 1 win, 3 draws and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for York City vs Northampton Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in York City against Northampton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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