Predictions › Belgium › Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp

Belgian Pro LeagueSat 21 Nov, 19:45 Belgium time

Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp prediction

Elindus Arena

Zulte-WaregemHome

1.60 : 1.27

expected goals

AntwerpAway

45%Zulte-Waregem

26%Draw

30%Antwerp

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Zulte-Waregem to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Zulte-Waregem 1.6, Antwerp 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Zulte-Waregem to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Zulte-Waregem 45%, the draw 26% and Antwerp 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Zulte-Waregem the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Zulte-Waregem took 0 points from their last 5 games and Antwerp took 4 from 5. Antwerp come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Zulte-Waregem won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Antwerp won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Zulte-Waregem score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Antwerp score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Zulte-Waregem games and 14 of Antwerp games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Zulte-Waregem won 1 and Antwerp won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Antwerp 2, Zulte-Waregem 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Zulte-Waregemrecent form-6%
Antwerprecent form-3%

Zulte-Waregem form D L L L LAntwerp form D L W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp: Zulte-Waregem shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Zulte-Waregem host Antwerp in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 at Elindus Arena. Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Zulte-Waregem form

Zulte-Waregem have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Antwerp form

Antwerp have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Zulte-Waregem won 1, Antwerp won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Antwerp 2, Zulte-Waregem 1.

Our call

We expect Zulte-Waregem to score about 1.6 goals and Antwerp about 1.3. That points to Zulte-Waregem to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Zulte-Waregem to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Zulte-Waregem	Antwerp
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	7
Draws	3	3
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	29	29
Goals conceded	29	38
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	5W 1D 4L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	4W 2D 4L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Zulte-Waregem to win	42%	2.35	2.05	-12.9%
A Draw	25%	3.94	3.50	-11.2%
Antwerp to win	29%	3.44	3.20	-6.9%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.99	1.67	-16.2%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.34	2.05	-12.3%
Zulte-Waregem -0.5	43%	2.31	1.95	-15.6%
Antwerp +0.5	50%	2.01	1.67	-17.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.83
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.09
Both teams to score	58%	1.72
Zulte-Waregem or Draw	70%	1.42
Antwerp or Draw	55%	1.80
Zulte-Waregem to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.47
Antwerp to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.41
Zulte-Waregem clean sheet	28%	3.55
Antwerp clean sheet	20%	4.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

2-19.2%

1-08.4%

1-27.3%

2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Zulte-Waregem to score 1.6 goals and Antwerp 1.3.

Will both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Zulte-Waregem last 20 games and 10 of Antwerp last 20.

How are Zulte-Waregem playing?

How are Antwerp playing?

What happened when Zulte-Waregem and Antwerp last met?

It ended Antwerp 2, Zulte-Waregem 1. In the last 2 meetings Zulte-Waregem won 1 and Antwerp won 1.

What is the best bet for Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Zulte-Waregem against Antwerp. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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