Predictions › Belgium › Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent

Belgian Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 18:45 Belgium time

Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent prediction

Elindus Arena

Zulte-WaregemHome

1.34 : 1.32

expected goals

KAA GentAway

37%Zulte-Waregem

28%Draw

36%KAA Gent

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Zulte-Waregem to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Zulte-Waregem 1.3, KAA Gent 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Zulte-Waregem to win

35% chancePrice 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Zulte-Waregem 37%, the draw 28% and KAA Gent 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make KAA Gent the favourite at 2.40, so take care with this one.
2
Recent form
Zulte-Waregem took 7 points from their last 5 games and KAA Gent took 13 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Zulte-Waregem won 6 of their last 10 games at home. KAA Gent won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Zulte-Waregem score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. KAA Gent score 1.1 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Zulte-Waregem games and 7 of KAA Gent games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Zulte-Waregem won 1 and KAA Gent won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended KAA Gent 2, Zulte-Waregem 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

KAA Gentrecent form+6%

Zulte-Waregem form L L W D WKAA Gent form W D W W WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent: Zulte-Waregem shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Zulte-Waregem host KAA Gent in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 at Elindus Arena. Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Zulte-Waregem form

Zulte-Waregem have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Zulte-Waregem won 1, KAA Gent won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished KAA Gent 2, Zulte-Waregem 0.

Our call

We expect Zulte-Waregem to score about 1.3 goals and KAA Gent about 1.3. That points to Zulte-Waregem to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Zulte-Waregem to win at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Zulte-Waregem	KAA Gent
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	8
Draws	3	8
Losses	7	4
Goals scored	32	23
Goals conceded	25	20
Scored per game	1.6	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.0
Home record	6W 1D 3L	5W 5D 1L
Away record	4W 2D 4L	3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	35%	35%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Zulte-Waregem to win	35%	2.89	2.85	-1.2%
A Draw	27%	3.74	3.20	-14.5%
KAA Gent to win	34%	2.96	2.40	-18.9%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.20	1.91	-13.2%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	2.07	1.77	-14.6%
Zulte-Waregem +0.5	59%	1.70	1.50	-11.8%
KAA Gent -0.5	36%	2.76	2.25	-18.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.60
Both teams to score	55%	1.82
Zulte-Waregem or Draw	64%	1.56
KAA Gent or Draw	63%	1.58
Zulte-Waregem to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.58
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.73
Zulte-Waregem clean sheet	27%	3.74
KAA Gent clean sheet	26%	3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

1-08.6%

0-18.5%

2-18.3%

1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

Our prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent is Zulte-Waregem to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Zulte-Waregem to score 1.3 goals and KAA Gent 1.3.

Will both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Zulte-Waregem last 20 games and 10 of KAA Gent last 20.

How are Zulte-Waregem playing?

How are KAA Gent playing?

What happened when Zulte-Waregem and KAA Gent last met?

It ended KAA Gent 2, Zulte-Waregem 0. In the last 2 meetings Zulte-Waregem won 1 and KAA Gent won 1.

What is the best bet for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Zulte-Waregem against KAA Gent. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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