EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United
Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction

Vitality Stadium

AFC BournemouthHome
1.50 : 1.13
expected goals
Leeds UnitedAway
45%Bournemouth
27%Draw
28%Leeds
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
AFC Bournemouth to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AFC Bournemouth 1.5, Leeds United 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Bournemouth 45%, the draw 27% and Leeds United 28%. The bookmakers agree and make AFC Bournemouth the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Bournemouth took 9 points from their last 5 games and Leeds United took 5 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Bournemouth won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Leeds United won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Bournemouth score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Leeds United score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AFC Bournemouth games and 9 of Leeds United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and Leeds United won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended AFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leedsrecent form-1%
Bournemouth form D W L L WLeeds form D L D W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: AFC Bournemouth shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United in the Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Vitality Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Leeds United form

Leeds United have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AFC Bournemouth won 0, Leeds United won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished AFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 2.

Our call

We expect AFC Bournemouth to score about 1.5 goals and Leeds United about 1.1. That points to AFC Bournemouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BournemouthLeeds
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws99
Losses34
Goals scored3228
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record4W 6D 1L4W 4D 0L
Away record4W 3D 2L3W 5D 4L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
AFC Bournemouth to win45%5/411/10-3.7%
A Draw26%11/412/5-13.0%
Leeds United to win27%11/49/4-12.2%
Over 2.5 goals48%21/205/6-11.6%
Under 2.5 goals48%11/1010/11-8.9%
AFC Bournemouth -0.545%5/4Evens-10.3%
Leeds United +0.551%Evens4/6-16.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
AFC Bournemouth or Draw72%2/5
Leeds United or Draw55%5/6
AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.527%11/4
Leeds United to win and Over 2.516%11/2
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet32%85/40
Leeds United clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-010.1%
2-19.2%
2-08.1%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Michael Carrick Under Fire as Manchester United Settle for Leeds Draw

Manchester United extended their winless run to six matches after a 1-1 draw against Leeds United at Elland Road.

18 Oct 2026
Premier League

Leeds Host Manchester United in Classic English Premier League Rivalry Clash

Manchester United visit Elland Road seeking to recover from their Champions League loss against rivals Leeds United.

18 Oct 2026
Premier League

Arsenal Fight Back Against Leeds Amid Manchester City Uncertainty

Bruno Guimaraes came off the bench to score the winner as Arsenal rallied for a 2-1 victory over Leeds United at the Emirates.

10 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect AFC Bournemouth to score 1.5 goals and Leeds United 1.1.

Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of AFC Bournemouth last 20 games and 11 of Leeds United last 20.

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

AFC Bournemouth have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Leeds United playing?

Leeds United have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when AFC Bournemouth and Leeds United last met?

It ended AFC Bournemouth 2, Leeds United 2. In the last 2 meetings AFC Bournemouth won 0 and Leeds United won 0.

What is the best bet for AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bournemouth against Leeds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.