Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Pro LeagueTue 20 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad prediction

Al Ettifaq Club Stadium

Al EttifaqHome
1.28 : 1.77
expected goals
Al IttihadAway
27%Al Ettifaq
25%Draw
48%Al Ittihad
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Al Ittihad to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Ettifaq 1.3, Al Ittihad 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ettifaq 27%, the draw 25% and Al Ittihad 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ettifaq took 6 points from their last 5 games and Al Ittihad took 10 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ettifaq won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Al Ittihad won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ettifaq score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Al Ittihad score 1.6 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Ettifaq games and 12 of Al Ittihad games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ettifaq won 1 and Al Ittihad won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Ettifaq 1, Al Ittihad 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ittihadrecent form+4%
  • Al Ettifaqrest between games-5%
  • Al Ittihadrest between games-5%
Al Ettifaq form D D D W LAl Ittihad form D D W W WHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad: Al Ittihad are favourites

The big picture

Al Ettifaq host Al Ittihad in the Saudi Pro League on Tue 20 Oct, 18:00 at Al Ettifaq Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Al Ettifaq form

Al Ettifaq have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ettifaq won 1, Al Ittihad won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Ettifaq 1, Al Ittihad 3.

Our call

We expect Al Ettifaq to score about 1.3 goals and Al Ittihad about 1.8. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5 at 3.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al EttifaqAl Ittihad
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws64
Losses86
Goals scored2932
Goals conceded3230
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record2W 4D 4L6W 2D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score61%1.65
Al Ettifaq or Draw52%1.93
Al Ittihad or Draw73%1.37
Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.518%5.59
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.533%3.02
Al Ettifaq clean sheet17%5.87
Al Ittihad clean sheet28%3.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.5%
0-17.7%
0-27.4%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?

Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Al Ettifaq to score 1.3 goals and Al Ittihad 1.8.

Will both teams score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Ettifaq last 20 games and 14 of Al Ittihad last 20.

How are Al Ettifaq playing?

Al Ettifaq have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Ettifaq and Al Ittihad last met?

It ended Al Ettifaq 1, Al Ittihad 3. In the last 2 meetings Al Ettifaq won 1 and Al Ittihad won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ettifaq against Al Ittihad. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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