EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 23 Oct, 15:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah prediction

King Abdullah Sports City

Al IttihadHome
1.37 : 1.32
expected goals
Al DiriyahAway
38%Al Ittihad
27%Draw
35%Al Diriyah
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah is Al Ittihad to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Al Ittihad to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Ittihad 1.4, Al Diriyah 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ittihad 38%, the draw 27% and Al Diriyah 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ittihad took 10 points from their last 5 games and Al Diriyah took 7 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ittihad won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Diriyah won 3 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ittihad score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Al Diriyah score 0.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Al Ittihad games and 3 of Al Diriyah games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ittihadrecent form+4%
  • Al Diriyahrecent form+1%
Al Ittihad form D D W W WAl Diriyah form D D W L WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah: Al Ittihad shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Ittihad host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 23 Oct, 15:30 at King Abdullah Sports City. Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah is Al Ittihad to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Ittihad to score about 1.4 goals and Al Diriyah about 1.3. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al IttihadAl Diriyah
Games played208
Wins103
Draws42
Losses63
Goals scored327
Goals conceded308
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record6W 2D 2L0W 2D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L3W 0D 1L
Clean sheets30%38%
Both teams scored70%25%
Over 2.5 goals60%38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Both teams to score55%1.81
Al Ittihad or Draw65%1.54
Al Diriyah or Draw62%1.60
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.523%4.42
Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.521%4.77
Al Ittihad clean sheet27%3.74
Al Diriyah clean sheet25%3.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-08.6%
2-18.4%
0-18.2%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad Forward George Ilenikhena Celebrates Dream Debut Goal For Nigeria

Al Ittihad forward George Ilenikhena scored on his Nigeria debut in a 2-1 win over Madagascar and hopes it is the first of many goals.

7 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah?

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah is Al Ittihad to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Al Ittihad to score 1.4 goals and Al Diriyah 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Ittihad last 20 games and 2 of Al Diriyah last 8.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ittihad against Al Diriyah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.