EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 16 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab prediction

Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium

Al IttihadHome
1.35 : 0.94
expected goals
Al ShababAway
46%Al Ittihad
29%Draw
25%Al Shabab
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab is Al Ittihad to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Al Ittihad to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Ittihad 1.4, Al Shabab 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ittihad 46%, the draw 29% and Al Shabab 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ittihad took 13 points from their last 5 games and Al Shabab took 3 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ittihad won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Shabab won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ittihad score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Al Shabab score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Ittihad games and 11 of Al Shabab games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ittihad won 1 and Al Shabab won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ittihadrecent form+4%
  • Al Shababrecent form-3%
  • Al Ittihadrest between games-3%
Al Ittihad form D W W W DAl Shabab form D L L D DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab: Al Ittihad are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Ittihad host Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 at Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium. Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab is Al Ittihad to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ittihad won 1, Al Shabab won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2.

Our call

We expect Al Ittihad to score about 1.4 goals and Al Shabab about 0.9. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al IttihadAl Shabab
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws58
Losses58
Goals scored3129
Goals conceded2837
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 3D 5L
Away record4W 3D 3L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.49
Over 3.5 goals20%5.03
Both teams to score46%2.18
Al Ittihad or Draw75%1.34
Al Shabab or Draw54%1.84
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.523%4.28
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.512%8.28
Al Ittihad clean sheet39%2.56
Al Shabab clean sheet26%3.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-012.9%
0-010.9%
2-09.2%
0-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab is Al Ittihad to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Al Ittihad to score 1.4 goals and Al Shabab 0.9.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Ittihad last 20 games and 15 of Al Shabab last 20.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Ittihad and Al Shabab last met?

It ended Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Ittihad won 1 and Al Shabab won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ittihad against Al Shabab. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.