Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ittihad vs Neom SC
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 6 Nov, 17:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ittihad vs Neom SC prediction

Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium

Al IttihadHome
1.26 : 1.05
expected goals
Neom SCAway
40%Al Ittihad
30%Draw
30%Neom SC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Neom SC is Al Ittihad to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Al Ittihad to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Ittihad 1.3, Neom SC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ittihad 40%, the draw 30% and Neom SC 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ittihad took 12 points from their last 5 games and Neom SC took 7 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ittihad won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Neom SC won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ittihad score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Neom SC score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Al Ittihad games and 8 of Neom SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ittihad won 1 and Neom SC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Ittihad 3, Neom SC 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Neom SCrecent form-1%
Al Ittihad form D W W L LNeom SC form D L L D WHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ittihad vs Neom SC: Al Ittihad shade it

The big picture

Al Ittihad host Neom SC in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 6 Nov, 17:30 at Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium. Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Neom SC is Al Ittihad to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ittihad won 1, Neom SC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Ittihad 3, Neom SC 4.

Our call

We expect Al Ittihad to score about 1.3 goals and Neom SC about 1.1. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al IttihadNeom SC
Games played2020
Wins119
Draws35
Losses66
Goals scored3630
Goals conceded3023
Scored per game1.81.5
Conceded per game1.51.1
Home record6W 2D 2L6W 3D 2L
Away record5W 1D 4L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.93
Both teams to score47%2.11
Al Ittihad or Draw70%1.43
Neom SC or Draw60%1.68
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.521%4.82
Neom SC to win and Over 2.515%6.72
Al Ittihad clean sheet35%2.86
Neom SC clean sheet28%3.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-011.7%
0-010.7%
0-19.6%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ittihad vs Neom SC?

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Neom SC is Al Ittihad to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Al Ittihad vs Neom SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Al Ittihad to score 1.3 goals and Neom SC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Neom SC?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Ittihad last 20 games and 10 of Neom SC last 20.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Ittihad and Neom SC last met?

It ended Al Ittihad 3, Neom SC 4. In the last 2 meetings Al Ittihad won 1 and Neom SC won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Ittihad vs Neom SC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ittihad against Neom SC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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