Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad prediction

Al KhaleejHome
1.35 : 2.03
expected goals
Al IttihadAway
25%Al Khaleej
23%Draw
53%Al Ittihad
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Al Ittihad to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Khaleej 1.4, Al Ittihad 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Khaleej 25%, the draw 23% and Al Ittihad 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Khaleej took 10 points from their last 5 games and Al Ittihad took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Khaleej won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Al Ittihad won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Khaleej score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Ittihad score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Khaleej games and 12 of Al Ittihad games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Khaleej won 0 and Al Ittihad won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Ittihad 1, Al Khaleej 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Khaleejrecent form+1%
  • Al Ittihadrecent form+3%
Al Khaleej form D L W W DAl Ittihad form L D W W WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad: Al Ittihad are favourites

The big picture

Al Khaleej host Al Ittihad in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Khaleej won 0, Al Ittihad won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Ittihad 1, Al Khaleej 0.

Our call

We expect Al Khaleej to score about 1.4 goals and Al Ittihad about 2.0. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al KhaleejAl Ittihad
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws74
Losses85
Goals scored2436
Goals conceded3728
Scored per game1.21.8
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record3W 3D 4L6W 2D 2L
Away record2W 4D 4L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.29
Both teams to score65%1.54
Al Khaleej or Draw47%2.11
Al Ittihad or Draw75%1.33
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.518%5.66
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Al Khaleej clean sheet13%7.59
Al Ittihad clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-27.0%
1-36.4%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad is Al Ittihad to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Al Khaleej to score 1.4 goals and Al Ittihad 2.0.

Will both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Al Khaleej last 20 games and 14 of Al Ittihad last 20.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Khaleej and Al Ittihad last met?

It ended Al Ittihad 1, Al Khaleej 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Khaleej won 0 and Al Ittihad won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Khaleej against Al Ittihad. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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