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Predictions › United States › Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:45 United States time

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction

FirstBank Stadium

Alabama Crimson TideAway
32.2 : 25.9
projected points
Vanderbilt CommodoresHome
66%Alabama
34%Vanderbilt
Eagle safe pickUnder 68.5 points
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 66% chance. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 32.2 and Vanderbilt Commodores 25.9. Our best bet is Under 68.5 points at -308.

Prediction
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Alabama Crimson Tide 32, Vanderbilt Commodores 26
Projected total
58.0 points
Best bet
Under 68.5 points at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 68.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vanderbilt to win
34% chanceFair price +1951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vanderbilt Commodores 34% and Alabama Crimson Tide 66%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 0 of their last 5 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 3 of their last 5. Alabama Crimson Tide come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Alabama Crimson Tide won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vanderbilt Commodores score 31.2 points a game and let in 27.2. Alabama Crimson Tide score 31.1 and let in 20.6. Their recent games average 58.4 and 51.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Vanderbilt Commodores won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. The last one ended Alabama Crimson Tide 30, Vanderbilt Commodores 14.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 68.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Alabama Crimson Tide are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vanderbilt Commodores host Alabama Crimson Tide in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:45 at FirstBank Stadium. Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 66% chance. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 32.2 and Vanderbilt Commodores 25.9. Our best bet is Under 68.5 points at -308.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 593 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Alabama Crimson Tide form

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 621 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Vanderbilt Commodores won 0, Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. Last time out it finished Alabama Crimson Tide 30, Vanderbilt Commodores 14.

Our call

We expect Alabama Crimson Tide to score about 32.2 points and Vanderbilt Commodores about 25.9. That points to Alabama Crimson Tide to win. Our safest bet is Under 68.5 points at -308. Our bold bet is Vanderbilt to win at +195.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VanderbiltAlabama
Games played1920
Wins1115
Losses85
Points scored593621
Points conceded516413
Scored per game31.231.1
Conceded per game27.220.6
Home record9W 3L8W 3L
Away record2W 5L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Vanderbilt spreadCoversFair
Vanderbilt -0.533%+199
Vanderbilt +3.543%+133
Vanderbilt +6.550%-102
Vanderbilt +9.558%-137
Vanderbilt +13.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
51.566%34%
55.556%44%
58.549%51%
61.541%59%
65.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vanderbilt +3.5 wins if Vanderbilt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Alabama Gets Positive Injury News Before Big Matchup With LSU

Ninth-ranked Alabama hopes to welcome back several key starters from injury as they prepare for a matchup against LSU.

2 Nov 2026
College Football

Alabama Guard William Sanders Facing Absence After Injury Against Texas A&M

Alabama starting left guard William Sanders suffered a lower leg injury against Texas A&M and is expected to miss multiple weeks.

25 Oct 2026
College Football

Alabama Missing Key Players For Clash With Texas A&M

Alabama faces Texas A&M without several key starters as the Crimson Tide try to end a two-game losing streak.

24 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 66% chance. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 32.2 and Vanderbilt Commodores 25.9. Our best bet is Under 68.5 points at -308.

What is the projected score for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

We project Alabama Crimson Tide 32.2 and Vanderbilt Commodores 25.9, about 58.0 points in total.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 593 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Alabama Crimson Tide playing?

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 621 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Vanderbilt Commodores and Alabama Crimson Tide last met?

It ended Alabama Crimson Tide 30, Vanderbilt Commodores 14. In the last 1 meeting Vanderbilt Commodores won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1.

What is the best bet for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Under 68.5 points at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vanderbilt against Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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