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Predictions › United States › Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction

FirstBank Stadium

Arkansas RazorbacksAway
21.8 : 37.3
projected points
Vanderbilt CommodoresHome
19%Arkansas
81%Vanderbilt
Eagle safe pickVanderbilt to win
-433

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 81% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Vanderbilt to win at -433.

Prediction
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
Arkansas Razorbacks 22, Vanderbilt Commodores 37
Projected total
59.2 points
Best bet
Vanderbilt to win at -433

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vanderbilt to win
81% chanceFair price -4332 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vanderbilt Commodores 81% and Arkansas Razorbacks 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 3 of their last 5 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 5. Vanderbilt Commodores come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vanderbilt Commodores score 33.6 points a game and let in 24.9. Arkansas Razorbacks score 25.7 and let in 35.1. Their recent games average 58.6 and 60.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Vanderbilt to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Vanderbilt Commodores are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vanderbilt Commodores host Arkansas Razorbacks in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at FirstBank Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 81% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Vanderbilt to win at -433.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 538 points scored and 399 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 386 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arkansas Razorbacks to score about 21.8 points and Vanderbilt Commodores about 37.3. That points to Vanderbilt Commodores to win. Our safest bet is Vanderbilt to win at -433.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

VanderbiltArkansas
Games played1615
Wins112
Losses513
Points scored538386
Points conceded399527
Scored per game33.625.7
Conceded per game24.935.1
Home record9W 1L2W 6L
Away record2W 4L0W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Vanderbilt spreadCoversFair
Vanderbilt -22.533%+203
Vanderbilt -18.542%+135
Vanderbilt -15.550%+100
Vanderbilt -12.557%-135
Vanderbilt -8.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
52.566%34%
56.557%43%
59.549%51%
62.542%58%
66.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vanderbilt +3.5 wins if Vanderbilt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Vanderbilt QB Jared Curtis Faces Late Fitness Test For Georgia Clash

Vanderbilt quarterback Jared Curtis and Georgia running back Nate Frazier are both game-time decisions for Saturday's matchup.

3 Oct 2026
College Football

Vanderbilt Stuns NC State with Wild Last Second Touchdown

Vanderbilt scored a touchdown with one second remaining to pull off a shocking 35-31 comeback victory over NC State on Saturday.

19 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 81% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3. Our best bet is Vanderbilt to win at -433.

What is the projected score for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.3, about 59.2 points in total.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 538 points scored and 399 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 386 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Vanderbilt to win at -433, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vanderbilt against Arkansas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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