Predictions › United Kingdom › Arsenal vs Hull City
Premier LeagueSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Arsenal vs Hull City prediction

Emirates Stadium

ArsenalHome
2.72 : 0.74
expected goals
Hull CityAway
78%Arsenal
14%Draw
7%Hull
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1/2

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City is Arsenal to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/2.

Prediction
Arsenal to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Arsenal 2.7, Hull City 0.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1/2
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
66% chanceFair price 1/21 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arsenal to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arsenal 78%, the draw 14% and Hull City 7%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 1/7.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arsenal took 11 points from their last 5 games and Hull City took 3 from 5. Arsenal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arsenal won 8 of their last 8 games at home. Hull City won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Arsenal score 1.7 goals a game and let in 0.7. Hull City score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Arsenal games and 7 of Hull City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Arsenalrecent form+4%
  • Hullrecent form-3%
  • Arsenalrest between games-5%
  • Arsenalteam news-4%
Arsenal form D W D W WHull form D L D L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arsenal vs Hull City: Arsenal are favourites

The big picture

Arsenal host Hull City in the Premier League on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Emirates Stadium. Our prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City is Arsenal to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/2.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Hull City form

Hull City have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arsenal to score about 2.7 goals and Hull City about 0.7. That points to Arsenal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/2. Our bold bet is Arsenal to win and both score at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ArsenalHull
Games played2020
Wins155
Draws410
Losses15
Goals scored3421
Goals conceded1319
Scored per game1.71.1
Conceded per game0.70.9
Home record8W 0D 0L3W 6D 0L
Away record7W 4D 1L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets55%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Arsenal to win79%2/71/7-10.0%
A Draw15%6/113/2+10.8%
Hull City to win6%14/114/1-3.7%
Over 3.5 goals42%11/85/4-5.4%
Under 3.5 goals52%10/114/7-17.2%
Arsenal -2.539%8/55/4-12.9%
Hull City +2.556%4/51/2-15.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%2/13
Over 2.5 goals67%1/2
Over 3.5 goals46%6/5
Both teams to score49%Evens
Arsenal or Draw93%1/10
Hull City or Draw22%7/2
Arsenal to win and Over 2.559%8/11
Hull City to win and Over 2.54%20/1
Arsenal clean sheet47%11/10
Hull City clean sheet7%14/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.6%
3-010.5%
2-18.6%
1-08.1%
3-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City is Arsenal to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/2.

What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Arsenal to score 2.7 goals and Hull City 0.7.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Arsenal last 20 games and 11 of Hull City last 20.

How are Arsenal playing?

Arsenal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Hull City playing?

Hull City have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Hull City?

Over 2.5 goals at 1/2, with a 66% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arsenal against Hull. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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