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Predictions › Conference League › AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland prediction

Stade Louis II

AS MonacoHome
1.76 : 1.12
expected goals
FC NordsjællandAway
52%Monaco
25%Draw
24%Nordsjælland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
AS Monaco to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AS Monaco 1.8, FC Nordsjælland 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AS Monaco 52%, the draw 25% and FC Nordsjælland 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AS Monaco took 8 points from their last 5 games and FC Nordsjælland took 5 from 5. AS Monaco come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AS Monaco won 5 of their last 9 games at home. FC Nordsjælland won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AS Monaco score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. FC Nordsjælland score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of AS Monaco games and 8 of FC Nordsjælland games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Monacorecent form+1%
  • Monacorest between games-5%
  • Nordsjællandrest between games-5%
Monaco form D W L W DNordsjælland form D D D D DHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: AS Monaco are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AS Monaco host FC Nordsjælland in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Stade Louis II. Our prediction for AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

AS Monaco form

AS Monaco have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect AS Monaco to score about 1.8 goals and FC Nordsjælland about 1.1. That points to AS Monaco to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5 at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MonacoNordsjælland
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws510
Losses43
Goals scored3629
Goals conceded2622
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record5W 3D 1L5W 4D 0L
Away record6W 2D 3L2W 6D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.06
Both teams to score56%1.77
AS Monaco or Draw76%1.31
FC Nordsjælland or Draw48%2.07
AS Monaco to win and Over 2.534%2.96
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.514%6.95
AS Monaco clean sheet33%3.07
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet17%5.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.7%
1-09.2%
2-08.7%
0-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Kylian Mbappe Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Liverpool

Kylian Mbappe has revealed how his mother fell in love with Anfield and urged him to sign for Liverpool before he chose Paris Saint Germain.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Our prediction for AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AS Monaco to score 1.8 goals and FC Nordsjælland 1.1.

Will both teams score in AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of AS Monaco last 20 games and 12 of FC Nordsjælland last 20.

How are AS Monaco playing?

AS Monaco have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Monaco against Nordsjælland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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