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Predictions › Italy › AS Roma vs Cagliari
Serie ATue 27 Oct, 19:45 Italy time

AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction

Olimpico

AS RomaHome
1.67 : 0.73
expected goals
CagliariAway
59%AS Roma
25%Draw
15%Cagliari
Eagle safe pickAS Roma or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari is AS Roma to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
AS Roma to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
AS Roma 1.7, Cagliari 0.7
Best bet
AS Roma or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AS Roma or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Roma to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AS Roma 59%, the draw 25% and Cagliari 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AS Roma took 8 points from their last 5 games and Cagliari took 10 from 5. Cagliari come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AS Roma won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Cagliari won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AS Roma score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.1. Cagliari score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of AS Roma games and 8 of Cagliari games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AS Roma won 1 and Cagliari won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AS Roma 2, Cagliari 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AS Roma or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cagliarirecent form+3%
  • AS Romarest between games-5%
AS Roma form D L D D WCagliari form D W W W LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari: AS Roma are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 at Olimpico. Our prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari is AS Roma to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.19.

AS Roma form

AS Roma have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Cagliari form

Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AS Roma won 1, Cagliari won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AS Roma 2, Cagliari 0.

Our call

We expect AS Roma to score about 1.7 goals and Cagliari about 0.7. That points to AS Roma to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win and Over 2.5 at 3.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AS RomaCagliari
Games played2020
Wins128
Draws44
Losses48
Goals scored4418
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game2.20.9
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record7W 2D 2L4W 2D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets55%30%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.32
Over 3.5 goals22%4.49
Both teams to score43%2.33
AS Roma or Draw85%1.18
Cagliari or Draw41%2.45
AS Roma to win and Over 2.532%3.10
Cagliari to win and Over 2.57%14.12
AS Roma clean sheet48%2.08
Cagliari clean sheet19%5.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.4%
2-012.6%
1-111.7%
0-09.7%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Chelsea prepare new January bid for Roma midfielder Manu Kone

Chelsea are ready to renew their interest in Roma midfielder Manu Kone, while Liverpool and Manchester United eye other major targets.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari is AS Roma to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect AS Roma to score 1.7 goals and Cagliari 0.7.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AS Roma last 20 games and 9 of Cagliari last 20.

How are AS Roma playing?

AS Roma have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Cagliari playing?

Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when AS Roma and Cagliari last met?

It ended AS Roma 2, Cagliari 0. In the last 2 meetings AS Roma won 1 and Cagliari won 1.

What is the best bet for AS Roma vs Cagliari?

AS Roma or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AS Roma against Cagliari. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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