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Predictions › Italy › AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Serie ASat 7 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction

Olimpico

AS RomaHome
2.39 : 0.69
expected goals
SassuoloAway
75%AS Roma
17%Draw
8%Sassuolo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo is AS Roma to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
AS Roma to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
AS Roma 2.4, Sassuolo 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Roma to win and both score
29% chanceFair price 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AS Roma 75%, the draw 17% and Sassuolo 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AS Roma took 10 points from their last 5 games and Sassuolo took 1 from 5. AS Roma come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AS Roma won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Sassuolo won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AS Roma score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Sassuolo score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AS Roma games and 13 of Sassuolo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AS Roma won 2 and Sassuolo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AS Roma 2, Sassuolo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AS Romarecent form+1%
  • Sassuolorecent form-4%
  • AS Romarest between games-5%
  • Sassuolorest between games-5%
AS Roma form D D W W LSassuolo form D L L D LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: AS Roma are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AS Roma host Sassuolo in the Serie A on Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 at Olimpico. Our prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo is AS Roma to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

AS Roma form

AS Roma have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Sassuolo form

Sassuolo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AS Roma won 2, Sassuolo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AS Roma 2, Sassuolo 0.

Our call

We expect AS Roma to score about 2.4 goals and Sassuolo about 0.7. That points to AS Roma to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win and both score at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AS RomaSassuolo
Games played2020
Wins135
Draws54
Losses211
Goals scored5026
Goals conceded2136
Scored per game2.51.3
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record8W 2D 1L5W 1D 3L
Away record5W 3D 1L0W 3D 8L
Clean sheets55%10%
Both teams scored45%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.70
Both teams to score46%2.18
AS Roma or Draw92%1.09
Sassuolo or Draw25%3.95
AS Roma to win and Over 2.551%1.96
Sassuolo to win and Over 2.55%21.57
AS Roma clean sheet50%2.00
Sassuolo clean sheet9%10.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.1%
1-010.5%
3-010.4%
2-19.1%
1-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Chelsea prepare new January bid for Roma midfielder Manu Kone

Chelsea are ready to renew their interest in Roma midfielder Manu Kone, while Liverpool and Manchester United eye other major targets.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo is AS Roma to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect AS Roma to score 2.4 goals and Sassuolo 0.7.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AS Roma last 20 games and 15 of Sassuolo last 20.

How are AS Roma playing?

AS Roma have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Sassuolo playing?

Sassuolo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when AS Roma and Sassuolo last met?

It ended AS Roma 2, Sassuolo 0. In the last 2 meetings AS Roma won 2 and Sassuolo won 0.

What is the best bet for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AS Roma against Sassuolo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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