Predictions › Champions League › AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction

Olimpico

AS RomaHome
2.93 : 0.80
expected goals
Slovan BratislavaAway
80%AS Roma
13%Draw
7%S Bratislava
Eagle safe pickAS Roma to win
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava is AS Roma to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AS Roma to win at 1.29.

Prediction
AS Roma to win
Chance
80%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
AS Roma 2.9, Slovan Bratislava 0.8
Best bet
AS Roma to win at 1.29
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AS Roma to win
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Roma to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AS Roma 80%, the draw 13% and Slovan Bratislava 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AS Roma took 11 points from their last 5 games and Slovan Bratislava took 6 from 5. AS Roma come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AS Roma won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Slovan Bratislava won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AS Roma score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. Slovan Bratislava score 0.9 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AS Roma games and 4 of Slovan Bratislava games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    AS Roma to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AS Romarecent form+4%
  • S Bratislavarecent form+3%
  • S Bratislavarest between games-3%
AS Roma form D W D W WS Bratislava form L W D W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: AS Roma are favourites

The big picture

AS Roma host Slovan Bratislava in the Champions League on Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 at Olimpico. Our prediction for AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava is AS Roma to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AS Roma to win at 1.29.

AS Roma form

AS Roma have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Slovan Bratislava form

Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect AS Roma to score about 2.9 goals and Slovan Bratislava about 0.8. That points to AS Roma to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AS Roma to win at 1.29. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win and both score at 2.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AS RomaS Bratislava
Games played207
Wins112
Draws50
Losses45
Goals scored446
Goals conceded2415
Scored per game2.20.9
Conceded per game1.22.1
Home record6W 3D 1L2W 0D 1L
Away record5W 2D 3L0W 0D 4L
Clean sheets45%14%
Both teams scored55%57%
Over 2.5 goals60%57%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%1.96
Both teams to score52%1.91
AS Roma or Draw93%1.07
Slovan Bratislava or Draw20%5.04
AS Roma to win and Over 2.563%1.59
Slovan Bratislava to win and Over 2.55%22.13
AS Roma clean sheet45%2.21
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet5%18.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.4%
3-010.1%
2-18.2%
3-18.0%
4-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava is AS Roma to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AS Roma to win at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect AS Roma to score 2.9 goals and Slovan Bratislava 0.8.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of AS Roma last 20 games and 4 of Slovan Bratislava last 7.

How are AS Roma playing?

AS Roma have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Slovan Bratislava playing?

Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

AS Roma to win at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AS Roma against S Bratislava. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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