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Predictions › Italy › Atalanta vs Internazionale
Serie ASun 22 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

Atalanta vs Internazionale prediction

New Balance Arena

AtalantaHome
1.17 : 2.03
expected goals
InternazionaleAway
21%Atalanta
22%Draw
57%Inter Milan
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Internazionale to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atalanta 1.2, Internazionale 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atalanta 21%, the draw 22% and Internazionale 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Internazionale the favourite at 1.56.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atalanta took 6 points from their last 5 games and Internazionale took 12 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atalanta won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Internazionale won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atalanta score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Internazionale score 2.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Atalanta games and 14 of Internazionale games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 0 and Internazionale won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Internazionale 1, Atalanta 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Milanrecent form+4%
Atalanta form W D L D DInter Milan form W W L W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atalanta vs Internazionale: Internazionale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atalanta host Internazionale in the Serie A on Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 at New Balance Arena. Our prediction for Atalanta vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atalanta won 0, Internazionale won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Internazionale 1, Atalanta 1.

Our call

We expect Atalanta to score about 1.2 goals and Internazionale about 2.0. That points to Internazionale to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and Over 2.5 at 2.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtalantaInter Milan
Games played2020
Wins613
Draws64
Losses83
Goals scored2847
Goals conceded3225
Scored per game1.42.4
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record4W 3D 3L8W 1D 1L
Away record2W 3D 5L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Atalanta to win20%4.974.50-9.4%
A Draw22%4.604.20-8.6%
Internazionale to win52%1.941.56-19.6%
Over 3.5 goals43%2.331.95-16.2%
Under 3.5 goals50%1.991.77-11.1%
Atalanta +0.540%2.502.25-10.0%
Internazionale -0.553%1.881.53-18.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals40%2.52
Both teams to score60%1.66
Atalanta or Draw43%2.31
Internazionale or Draw79%1.26
Atalanta to win and Over 2.514%7.20
Internazionale to win and Over 2.541%2.47
Atalanta clean sheet13%7.59
Internazionale clean sheet31%3.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%
0-17.7%
1-36.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Serie A

Curtis Jones Settles at Inter Milan and Talks Serie A Challenge

Curtis Jones says playing for Inter Milan is similar to Liverpool while the Italian side faces a fresh injury setback.

24 Oct 2026
Serie A

Inter Milan Legend Sandro Mazzola Passes Away at 83

Inter Milan and Italy legend Sandro Mazzola has died at 83, leaving behind an incredible legacy as a one club icon.

19 Sept 2026
Serie A

AC Milan and Inter Prepare to Say Goodbye to the Iconic San Siro

As the iconic San Siro celebrates its 100th anniversary, AC Milan and Inter are preparing to build a brand new home.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Atalanta vs Internazionale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Atalanta to score 1.2 goals and Internazionale 2.0.

Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Atalanta last 20 games and 12 of Internazionale last 20.

How are Atalanta playing?

Atalanta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Internazionale playing?

Internazionale have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atalanta and Internazionale last met?

It ended Internazionale 1, Atalanta 1. In the last 2 meetings Atalanta won 0 and Internazionale won 1.

What is the best bet for Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Atalanta against Inter Milan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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