Predictions › Spain › Athletic Club vs Getafe

LaLigaSun 25 Oct, 13:00 Spain time

Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction

San Mamés

Athletic ClubHome

1.43 : 0.74

expected goals

GetafeAway

53%Athletic

29%Draw

19%Getafe

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Athletic Club vs Getafe is Athletic Club to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Athletic Club to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Athletic Club 1.4, Getafe 0.7
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

A Draw

27% chancePrice 3.85+2.3% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Athletic Club 53%, the draw 29% and Getafe 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Athletic Club the favourite at 1.67.
2
Recent form
Athletic Club took 8 points from their last 5 games and Getafe took 5 from 5. Athletic Club come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Athletic Club won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Getafe won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Athletic Club score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Getafe score 0.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Athletic Club games and 4 of Getafe games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 0 and Getafe won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Getafe 2, Athletic Club 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Athleticrecent form+1%
Athleticrest between games-3%

Athletic form D D W W LGetafe form D W L D DHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Athletic Club vs Getafe: Athletic Club are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Athletic Club host Getafe in the LaLiga on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at San Mamés. Our prediction for Athletic Club vs Getafe is Athletic Club to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Athletic Club form

Athletic Club have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Getafe form

Getafe have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Athletic Club won 0, Getafe won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Getafe 2, Athletic Club 0.

Our call

We expect Athletic Club to score about 1.4 goals and Getafe about 0.7. That points to Athletic Club to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Athletic	Getafe
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	9
Goals scored	23	15
Goals conceded	30	19
Scored per game	1.1	0.8
Conceded per game	1.5	0.9
Home record	4W 3D 4L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	2W 1D 6L	2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	20%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	20%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Athletic Club to win	50%	1.99	1.67	-16.0%
A Draw	27%	3.77	3.85	+2.3%
Getafe to win	18%	5.66	4.70	-17.0%
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.38	2.15	-9.7%
Under 2.5 goals	55%	1.83	1.65	-10.3%
Athletic Club -0.5	52%	1.91	1.61	-16.0%
Getafe +0.5	44%	2.26	2.10	-7.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.55
Over 2.5 goals	37%	2.71
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5.74
Both teams to score	40%	2.48
Athletic Club or Draw	81%	1.23
Getafe or Draw	47%	2.12
Athletic Club to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.92
Getafe to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.94
Athletic Club clean sheet	48%	2.09
Getafe clean sheet	24%	4.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.7%

1-112.8%

0-012.2%

2-011.7%

2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

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14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?

Our prediction for Athletic Club vs Getafe is Athletic Club to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Athletic Club vs Getafe?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Athletic Club to score 1.4 goals and Getafe 0.7.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Getafe?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Athletic Club last 20 games and 4 of Getafe last 20.

How are Athletic Club playing?

How are Getafe playing?

What happened when Athletic Club and Getafe last met?

It ended Getafe 2, Athletic Club 0. In the last 2 meetings Athletic Club won 0 and Getafe won 2.

What is the best bet for Athletic Club vs Getafe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Athletic against Getafe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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